Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8226 5008 12 5 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1441 223 106 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 254 426 2103 652 32 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 463 5077 2065 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 663 4787 521 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9018 4213 3 4 2 0 0 0
OW 19 1550 196 94 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 551 514 2109 619 35 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 611 4872 2476 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 449 4436 293 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9267 4461 3 2 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1601 238 118 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 273 449 2278 606 13 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 655 5370 618 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 916 4987 197 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9802 3900 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 1662 181 90 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 497 525 2466 349 6 0 0
ODI 0 33 21 681 5067 980 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 25 1328 4238 224 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9801 3958 7 0 0 0 0 0
OW 2 1574 168 85 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 532 529 2493 459 8 0 0
ODI 0 29 25 660 4783 970 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 24 1502 4246 224 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9898 3750 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1732 191 155 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 640 445 2332 419 16 0 0
ODI 0 61 44 788 5074 987 0 0
CDI 0 7 8 25 1635 3699 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9898 3789 5 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1657 189 151 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 687 445 2390 499 16 0 0
ODI 0 53 47 720 4866 1042 0 0
CDI 0 4 6 39 1763 3644 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10115 4369 7 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1701 415 252 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 174 365 2232 419 7 0 0
ODI 0 5 5 592 6276 846 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 329 3918 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10115 3585 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1839 215 137 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 753 531 2099 498 16 0 0
ODI 0 66 37 794 4940 1121 19 0
CDI 0 6 5 49 1575 3634 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10180 4340 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1766 422 220 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 249 424 2127 384 17 0 0
ODI 0 2 7 763 6078 903 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 629 3445 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10180 3381 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2005 228 145 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 877 566 1996 391 31 0 0
ODI 0 92 55 909 5113 1089 0 0
CDI 0 2 10 68 1568 3245 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10427 4191 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1928 381 170 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 432 464 1860 404 11 0 0
ODI 0 7 15 647 5546 1449 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 793 3328 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10427 3093 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2133 268 190 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 1128 532 1660 457 18 0 0
ODI 0 189 54 735 4535 1570 0 0
CDI 0 15 14 103 1743 3200 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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