Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12360 5864 58 35 0 0 0 0
OW 82 2039 212 135 36 9 0 0
VODI 24 934 503 1633 275 42 6 0
ODI 2 107 25 841 5405 1952 82 0
CDI 0 106 57 212 1216 5362 3451 211
VCDI 0 122 55 90 173 399 1110 641
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13509 4996 26 15 0 0 0 0
OW 115 1981 172 119 16 0 0 0
VODI 51 867 586 1844 247 30 0 0
ODI 13 106 43 1390 4596 1212 38 0
CDI 0 165 61 282 2141 5715 3060 64
VCDI 0 144 29 66 168 553 1426 20
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14752 4834 42 24 0 0 0 0
OW 112 2154 445 243 4 0 0 0
VODI 28 393 393 2651 537 2 0 0
ODI 0 72 23 930 5172 1090 14 0
CDI 0 71 32 112 1578 5202 1413 0
VCDI 0 7 4 16 69 1586 1861 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14804 5051 36 27 0 0 0 0
OW 38 2448 297 167 0 0 0 0
VODI 31 636 575 3067 396 9 1 0
ODI 0 76 33 978 4542 729 47 0
CDI 0 58 28 94 1529 6552 1640 0
VCDI 0 11 13 30 91 1131 701 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14794 5084 38 31 0 0 0 0
OW 47 2424 320 183 0 0 0 0
VODI 31 611 559 2766 438 16 0 0
ODI 1 87 26 1263 4481 959 33 0
CDI 0 63 26 90 1548 6271 1543 0
VCDI 0 11 13 30 91 1175 813 0

Date: 2024-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15836 4223 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 64 2521 215 139 6 0 0 0
VODI 23 826 658 3204 383 27 0 0
ODI 7 112 19 971 4163 979 24 0
CDI 0 106 29 49 1342 6132 2336 0
VCDI 0 11 8 22 120 752 545 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15830 4263 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 71 2517 249 187 4 0 0 0
VODI 21 785 625 2818 426 41 0 0
ODI 8 119 19 1304 3975 1182 23 0
CDI 0 106 28 54 1481 5827 2214 0
VCDI 0 9 8 22 128 840 668 0

Date: 2024-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15857 5437 31 16 0 0 0 0
OW 59 2507 515 268 9 0 0 0
VODI 18 270 336 3704 368 17 0 0
ODI 0 43 16 377 4752 956 10 0
CDI 0 29 3 24 568 4968 263 0
VCDI 0 15 1 12 40 343 4034 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15823 4433 2 4 2 0 0 0
OW 73 2508 244 206 15 8 4 0
VODI 24 1114 572 2748 294 79 18 0
ODI 14 114 66 1347 4217 1269 20 0
CDI 0 115 16 81 1111 4731 2635 0
VCDI 0 17 2 15 98 197 1630 0

Date: 2024-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17089 4238 11 0 0 0 0 0
OW 77 2690 350 137 0 0 0 0
VODI 26 455 582 3370 295 1 0 0
ODI 14 47 19 507 5268 1055 0 0
CDI 9 30 2 37 992 4098 238 0
VCDI 0 1 1 12 56 1416 2743 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16938 3219 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 209 2647 206 126 5 1 0 0
VODI 21 1327 632 2588 329 47 0 0
ODI 29 161 112 1228 4928 1325 0 0
CDI 18 100 11 103 1250 4603 2219 0
VCDI 0 7 2 17 99 594 762 0

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17771 3945 18 3 0 0 0 0
OW 153 2506 300 89 0 0 0 0
VODI 47 679 824 2747 260 8 0 0
ODI 20 35 27 738 5436 1413 1 0
CDI 4 5 1 21 907 3878 255 0
VCDI 0 26 3 11 39 1661 2035 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17631 2630 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 217 2829 213 118 20 6 0 0
VODI 67 1485 788 2198 268 127 0 0
ODI 60 190 144 1130 5157 1268 18 0
CDI 20 37 25 145 1127 5127 1567 0
VCDI 0 25 3 18 70 432 706 0


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