Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-08-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105969 14760 125 60 1 0 0 0
OW 2326 4375 616 447 71 9 1 0
VODI 1741 1379 1132 4313 1146 106 11 0
ODI 2 110 34 1476 11714 4798 102 0
CDI 0 106 57 215 2010 12721 5724 211
VCDI 0 122 55 90 173 399 1449 654
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109907 11388 68 30 5 0 0 0
OW 2362 4486 546 399 53 1 0 0
VODI 1732 1630 1258 4501 1007 103 2 0
ODI 13 115 68 2275 10590 4188 47 0
CDI 0 165 61 284 2906 13545 4241 64
VCDI 0 144 29 66 168 556 1787 20
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111415 11915 103 62 9 0 0 0
OW 2439 4703 847 490 31 0 0 0
VODI 1568 767 1032 5630 1304 31 0 0
ODI 0 76 33 1774 12033 2013 20 0
CDI 0 71 32 117 2715 13563 2263 0
VCDI 0 7 4 16 69 1640 2018 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112308 11427 71 60 6 0 0 0
OW 2398 5047 605 383 16 0 0 0
VODI 1527 1376 1313 6146 909 24 1 0
ODI 0 112 65 1939 10979 2125 47 0
CDI 0 59 32 119 3423 13762 2414 0
VCDI 0 11 13 30 91 1138 834 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112293 11643 76 71 7 0 0 0
OW 2410 4823 619 387 13 0 0 0
VODI 1529 1373 1299 5880 1071 33 0 0
ODI 1 119 63 2195 10554 2231 33 0
CDI 0 63 29 114 3688 13584 2255 0
VCDI 0 11 13 30 91 1201 1008 0

Date: 2024-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113652 10410 69 46 14 0 0 0
OW 2462 5141 523 373 27 0 0 0
VODI 1470 1717 1320 6098 954 59 1 0
ODI 7 175 69 1967 10779 2345 37 0
CDI 0 113 37 74 3347 12183 3713 0
VCDI 0 11 8 22 120 768 699 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113711 10612 64 40 10 0 0 0
OW 2539 4945 573 420 28 0 0 0
VODI 1333 1717 1272 5772 1108 72 1 0
ODI 8 174 75 2233 10195 2534 34 0
CDI 0 110 34 93 3772 11855 3522 0
VCDI 0 9 8 22 128 894 893 0

Date: 2024-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114369 12513 91 80 8 0 0 0
OW 2666 4863 1106 613 18 0 0 0
VODI 1167 470 816 6577 943 34 0 0
ODI 0 48 21 1078 12758 1975 23 0
CDI 0 29 3 32 1128 11858 510 0
VCDI 0 15 1 12 40 532 4413 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114320 10386 34 44 2 0 0 0
OW 2577 5083 573 416 39 8 4 0
VODI 1291 2151 1301 5407 931 117 18 0
ODI 14 180 107 2373 10458 2590 48 0
CDI 0 121 21 137 3367 11439 3173 0
VCDI 0 17 2 15 98 245 1703 0

Date: 2024-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115818 11322 58 55 7 0 0 0
OW 2722 5061 935 489 13 0 0 0
VODI 1132 755 1117 6101 822 26 0 0
ODI 14 49 26 1356 13109 2092 0 0
CDI 9 30 2 55 1954 10165 686 0
VCDI 0 1 1 12 56 1481 3279 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115650 8959 34 43 0 0 0 0
OW 2757 5363 528 356 45 1 0 0
VODI 1241 2530 1378 5105 850 95 0 0
ODI 29 257 176 2366 11279 2660 0 0
CDI 18 102 21 181 3688 10409 3074 0
VCDI 0 7 2 17 99 599 891 0

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117029 10646 82 58 0 0 0 0
OW 2854 4934 848 440 17 0 0 0
VODI 1107 1199 1380 5149 837 32 0 0
ODI 20 42 50 1495 12369 3146 20 0
CDI 4 5 1 35 2069 9988 484 0
VCDI 0 26 3 11 39 1710 2681 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116862 7989 40 29 0 0 0 0
OW 2839 5472 614 465 63 9 0 0
VODI 1233 2907 1449 4360 929 175 6 0
ODI 60 407 216 2042 10699 3264 59 0
CDI 20 52 42 274 3570 10995 2231 0
VCDI 0 25 3 18 70 433 889 0


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