Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8606 6512 93 37 2 0 0 0
OW 67 2284 433 419 42 0 0 0
VODI 46 637 441 2083 488 54 1 0
ODI 18 99 29 509 3926 687 143 0
CDI 0 126 31 100 2773 9746 2342 0
VCDI 0 131 45 152 276 1137 1351 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8872 6389 48 10 0 0 0 0
OW 50 2749 249 326 27 0 0 0
VODI 48 966 541 1656 535 16 0 0
ODI 12 120 57 885 4406 659 0 0
CDI 0 177 47 114 3143 9643 1028 0
VCDI 0 115 38 146 331 1171 1292 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9659 7170 114 43 2 0 0 0
OW 113 2641 344 208 33 0 0 0
VODI 26 456 522 1925 335 26 0 0
ODI 1 104 23 533 6473 1878 39 0
CDI 0 179 67 157 1023 7489 2058 0
VCDI 0 5 6 54 286 1420 454 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11346 6489 63 27 2 0 0 0
OW 101 2211 224 167 41 8 0 0
VODI 20 791 513 1725 277 44 1 0
ODI 4 110 18 735 5358 2482 56 0
CDI 0 100 45 153 814 5743 3273 231
VCDI 0 133 43 119 253 513 1055 578
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11320 6452 57 34 0 0 0 0
OW 129 2201 229 179 30 6 0 0
VODI 18 824 511 1670 329 42 0 0
ODI 4 114 22 769 5184 2270 66 0
CDI 0 117 50 157 949 5979 3342 233
VCDI 0 126 37 117 253 493 977 576

Date: 2024-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13273 5133 21 14 2 0 0 0
OW 98 2046 188 122 29 3 0 0
VODI 30 846 483 1844 239 48 0 0
ODI 0 104 35 1271 4751 1467 104 0
CDI 0 130 72 291 1599 5891 2582 482
VCDI 0 137 38 61 139 435 1417 441
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13252 4998 23 14 0 0 0 0
OW 126 2128 190 116 15 0 0 0
VODI 23 890 485 1821 315 46 0 0
ODI 0 102 29 1293 4520 1627 89 0
CDI 0 144 75 295 1781 5786 2805 456
VCDI 0 134 35 64 128 385 1209 467

Date: 2024-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14442 5034 45 25 0 0 0 0
OW 139 2152 440 258 6 0 0 0
VODI 21 245 316 2636 533 1 0 0
ODI 0 76 24 635 6341 759 0 0
CDI 0 60 35 113 914 6235 607 0
VCDI 0 3 5 15 57 260 3434 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14356 4274 22 16 0 0 0 0
OW 205 1922 171 113 7 0 0 0
VODI 29 905 534 1812 370 31 0 0
ODI 12 115 33 1475 4786 1064 0 0
CDI 0 202 78 212 2474 5972 3002 0
VCDI 0 152 27 54 214 188 1039 0

Date: 2024-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15435 4306 45 12 0 0 0 0
OW 70 2471 294 130 0 0 0 0
VODI 40 557 448 2840 479 5 0 0
ODI 1 76 21 922 4426 1198 26 0
CDI 0 67 43 101 1329 5897 2149 0
VCDI 0 7 7 25 69 1144 1226 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15350 3523 27 3 0 0 0 0
OW 128 1969 141 98 4 0 0 0
VODI 56 1393 505 1468 296 38 3 0
ODI 12 176 76 2263 3768 1497 73 0
CDI 0 280 91 146 2094 6538 2885 0
VCDI 0 143 18 52 141 171 440 0

Date: 2024-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15414 4584 35 2 0 0 0 0
OW 53 2511 222 132 0 0 0 0
VODI 24 709 622 3138 411 18 0 0
ODI 4 91 34 1064 4273 879 34 0
CDI 0 72 27 97 1243 6399 2128 0
VCDI 0 18 8 30 134 367 1089 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15302 3632 21 3 0 0 0 0
OW 131 1980 169 167 15 0 0 0
VODI 59 1646 466 1394 223 94 18 0
ODI 3 281 193 2654 3374 1755 17 0
CDI 0 276 77 206 2267 5603 2743 0
VCDI 0 170 22 39 182 211 473 0


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