Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-08-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98318 16959 151 60 3 0 0 0
OW 2124 4867 1057 874 73 3 1 0
VODI 2003 1270 1153 4819 1359 106 17 0
ODI 18 116 59 1417 9256 2252 208 0
CDI 0 126 31 106 5032 21028 2720 0
VCDI 0 131 45 152 276 1192 1428 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99991 15589 115 27 0 0 0 0
OW 2172 5452 817 690 56 12 6 0
VODI 1960 1781 1240 4255 1598 95 29 0
ODI 12 142 90 1892 9736 2100 64 0
CDI 0 177 47 122 5901 20406 1111 0
VCDI 0 115 38 146 331 1202 1293 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101988 16677 195 55 3 0 0 0
OW 2259 5050 883 530 44 1 0 0
VODI 1801 714 1083 4859 1209 66 9 0
ODI 1 104 25 1202 12418 5017 50 0
CDI 0 179 67 161 2109 16982 2792 0
VCDI 0 5 6 54 286 1441 485 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105158 14980 117 62 3 0 0 0
OW 2381 4375 689 523 77 12 1 0
VODI 1758 1143 1084 4531 1182 119 6 0
ODI 4 112 27 1427 11376 5492 78 0
CDI 0 100 45 157 1517 13596 5469 231
VCDI 0 133 43 119 253 513 1338 579
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105197 15034 113 72 0 0 0 0
OW 2343 4252 703 565 73 11 1 0
VODI 1757 1196 1066 4448 1256 125 3 0
ODI 4 118 36 1451 10994 5862 101 0
CDI 0 117 50 166 1832 13241 5502 234
VCDI 0 126 37 117 253 493 1285 576

Date: 2024-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108689 12412 70 35 2 0 0 0
OW 2409 4399 595 398 75 3 0 0
VODI 1731 1468 1074 4435 1070 105 3 0
ODI 0 105 47 1934 11036 4604 118 0
CDI 0 130 72 292 2336 12929 4701 482
VCDI 0 137 38 61 139 438 1774 464
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108672 12259 78 40 1 0 0 0
OW 2428 4477 578 402 61 0 0 0
VODI 1729 1533 1081 4368 1325 110 3 0
ODI 0 104 49 1981 10334 5440 170 0
CDI 0 144 75 300 2808 12132 4856 456
VCDI 0 134 35 64 129 397 1567 490

Date: 2024-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110076 13185 120 57 7 0 0 0
OW 2446 4453 992 607 24 2 0 0
VODI 1583 492 788 5549 1295 33 0 0
ODI 0 76 26 1174 13463 2079 1 0
CDI 0 60 35 113 1848 15045 890 0
VCDI 0 3 5 15 57 281 3930 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109951 11389 77 30 5 0 0 0
OW 2454 4495 513 442 45 2 0 0
VODI 1688 1852 1166 4424 1552 124 0 0
ODI 12 179 105 2351 10160 4033 13 0
CDI 0 202 78 214 4718 13085 3561 0
VCDI 0 152 27 54 214 196 1247 0

Date: 2024-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112605 10934 81 42 7 0 0 0
OW 2409 5035 649 343 21 0 0 0
VODI 1560 1157 1171 5988 1027 28 0 0
ODI 1 100 39 1860 10793 2590 31 0
CDI 0 67 44 116 2541 13717 3272 0
VCDI 0 7 7 25 69 1145 1329 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112480 8938 50 23 7 0 0 0
OW 2406 4796 445 373 53 0 0 0
VODI 1677 2782 1198 4252 1240 112 3 0
ODI 12 361 188 3499 8732 4225 136 0
CDI 0 280 92 175 4285 12972 3976 0
VCDI 0 143 18 52 141 171 517 0

Date: 2024-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113281 10669 71 33 9 0 0 0
OW 2430 5130 563 309 15 0 0 0
VODI 1495 1561 1375 6114 923 38 0 0
ODI 4 147 71 2066 10758 2364 36 0
CDI 0 75 35 118 3150 12857 3268 0
VCDI 0 18 8 30 134 385 1270 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113123 8350 54 35 5 0 0 0
OW 2445 4962 454 372 69 0 0 0
VODI 1639 3271 1195 4166 1114 169 18 0
ODI 3 569 317 3801 8526 4382 63 0
CDI 0 278 81 257 5093 10706 3832 0
VCDI 0 170 22 39 182 387 661 0


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