Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79810 6558 62 49 0 0 0 0
OW 1902 1243 241 219 9 0 0 0
VODI 2122 389 331 1297 214 11 0 0
ODI 0 34 45 337 668 115 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 4 1381 5247 119 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 187 266 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80274 6441 58 32 1 0 0 0
OW 1919 1279 235 284 19 0 0 0
VODI 2081 391 289 1208 152 13 0 0
ODI 0 78 64 347 556 127 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 23 1129 5472 214 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 6 167 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80256 7209 132 102 7 0 0 0
OW 1946 1100 397 331 19 0 0 0
VODI 2010 175 264 1191 227 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 157 1742 277 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 828 4017 223 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 228 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82640 5323 57 30 10 0 0 0
OW 2026 970 403 330 53 1 0 0
VODI 1972 204 267 974 169 48 18 0
ODI 0 10 24 279 1523 284 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1160 3765 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 46 62 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82640 5507 84 34 9 0 0 0
OW 2023 789 398 446 49 0 0 0
VODI 1975 200 249 832 157 46 11 0
ODI 0 11 20 301 1589 239 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1111 3839 161 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 20 62 0

Date: 2024-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82958 5181 44 12 0 0 0 0
OW 2076 948 429 386 23 5 1 0
VODI 1931 223 237 823 226 45 15 0
ODI 0 20 29 252 1077 677 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 311 4742 142 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4 29 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82944 5366 70 21 0 0 0 0
OW 2087 791 428 430 22 8 3 0
VODI 1934 190 212 750 211 35 12 0
ODI 0 25 29 268 1075 707 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 329 4719 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4 12 0

Date: 2024-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83906 4919 59 20 0 0 0 0
OW 2131 973 277 171 8 0 0 0
VODI 1794 115 272 859 243 25 6 0
ODI 0 0 3 152 1676 359 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 209 4298 301 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 12 61 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83812 4625 42 15 0 0 0 0
OW 2125 1118 272 177 21 13 8 0
VODI 1894 246 270 695 188 39 15 0
ODI 0 18 27 314 1464 536 47 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 463 4083 272 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 23 39 0

Date: 2024-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85376 3651 43 25 0 0 0 0
OW 2260 831 231 209 18 1 1 0
VODI 1759 115 220 776 231 42 5 0
ODI 0 0 2 183 1449 386 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 387 4098 479 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 35 44 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85154 3476 33 19 0 0 0 0
OW 2385 870 212 223 27 20 8 0
VODI 1856 239 228 623 192 35 14 0
ODI 0 12 23 325 1457 749 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 409 3619 360 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 139 125 0

Date: 2024-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85383 3888 55 20 0 0 0 0
OW 2244 895 181 206 30 0 1 0
VODI 1717 191 203 577 219 32 5 0
ODI 0 2 4 172 1232 781 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 131 2572 1752 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 339 13
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85203 3707 49 29 0 0 0 0
OW 2327 991 175 217 23 8 8 0
VODI 1814 268 198 497 239 43 7 0
ODI 0 10 21 226 1160 1480 146 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 190 1854 1628 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 323 13


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