Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1790 5624 52 17 0 0 0 0
OW 139 2780 392 268 14 1 0 0
VODI 4 632 450 1798 1178 29 0 0
ODI 0 68 54 672 3876 2515 0 0
CDI 0 39 12 95 2791 6782 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2276 5723 28 10 0 0 0 0
OW 187 2692 362 295 22 0 0 0
VODI 2 661 473 1749 1145 28 0 0
ODI 0 150 51 609 3468 3680 0 0
CDI 0 36 11 213 2716 5435 60 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2691 6984 44 23 0 0 0 0
OW 68 2265 489 349 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 241 421 1936 626 4 0 0
ODI 0 12 7 520 5438 1719 0 0
CDI 0 4 0 0 791 6762 683 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3798 6330 28 6 0 0 0 0
OW 350 1928 473 261 2 0 0 0
VODI 18 359 420 1751 816 3 0 0
ODI 0 12 14 548 5360 1575 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1081 6780 165 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3892 6293 37 7 0 0 0 0
OW 245 1951 491 331 3 0 0 0
VODI 29 373 395 1598 792 7 0 0
ODI 0 10 11 630 5480 1822 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 4 984 6529 165 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4514 5945 8 3 1 0 0 0
OW 294 2156 387 229 8 0 0 0
VODI 6 412 428 1576 1001 23 0 0
ODI 4 6 32 840 4698 1832 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 5 1433 5956 281 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4533 5943 16 3 2 0 0 0
OW 263 2130 383 297 11 0 0 0
VODI 17 443 429 1415 1017 32 0 0
ODI 5 2 27 921 4757 2003 6 0
CDI 0 2 3 17 1354 5776 275 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5542 6160 54 9 0 0 0 0
OW 91 1624 418 245 6 0 0 0
VODI 3 127 283 1859 439 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 424 4797 1035 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1065 7283 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 40 317 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5343 5240 15 4 3 0 0 0
OW 284 2173 337 384 17 0 0 0
VODI 8 485 350 1241 1250 93 0 0
ODI 1 10 55 901 3718 2794 77 0
CDI 0 6 0 9 1319 5473 492 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6517 5441 40 7 0 0 0 0
OW 51 1621 263 113 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 278 410 1764 556 11 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 429 4680 921 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 3 1894 6667 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 121 174 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6218 4513 13 2 0 0 0 0
OW 344 2170 304 274 39 1 0 0
VODI 6 599 261 1148 1513 88 0 0
ODI 0 55 137 867 4070 2237 47 0
CDI 0 5 4 25 1511 5394 237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7764 4351 12 1 0 0 0 0
OW 63 1622 184 55 4 0 0 0
VODI 3 424 470 1860 650 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 737 4201 906 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 1877 6744 88 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 52 2 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7375 3559 5 0 0 0 0 0
OW 451 2050 258 250 9 0 0 0
VODI 4 644 243 1344 1388 28 0 0
ODI 0 142 163 1035 3956 2359 15 0
CDI 0 3 1 29 1379 5317 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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