Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74217 8578 132 59 0 0 0 0
OW 1425 1765 332 382 26 0 0 0
VODI 2784 639 375 981 346 2 0 0
ODI 0 35 61 595 1747 245 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 1765 6209 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75936 7212 51 22 1 0 0 0
OW 1450 1989 302 350 30 5 0 0
VODI 2755 799 320 782 265 25 0 0
ODI 0 54 70 721 1307 364 12 0
CDI 0 2 4 99 647 7240 40 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76057 7948 121 59 1 0 0 0
OW 1564 1864 386 310 18 0 0 0
VODI 2514 267 325 1269 389 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 336 1375 312 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 201 6839 338 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 91 238 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77294 7172 133 42 0 0 0 0
OW 1618 1644 333 222 8 0 0 0
VODI 2473 348 321 1183 536 14 1 0
ODI 0 0 15 382 1156 259 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 207 7072 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 258 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77294 7390 135 36 0 0 0 0
OW 1617 1455 334 250 9 0 0 0
VODI 2474 317 304 1105 491 13 1 0
ODI 0 2 29 433 1173 332 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 234 7006 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 252 0 0

Date: 2024-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77627 7214 106 70 2 0 0 0
OW 1624 1495 266 264 19 3 0 0
VODI 2430 392 317 1044 622 34 2 0
ODI 0 8 31 379 960 143 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 544 6456 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 600 4 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77628 7444 97 58 1 0 0 0
OW 1620 1285 290 291 19 1 0 0
VODI 2433 362 285 968 617 35 2 0
ODI 0 18 48 436 953 300 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 557 6334 164 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 566 17 0

Date: 2024-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78100 7556 115 68 2 0 0 0
OW 1717 1285 300 251 16 0 0 0
VODI 2342 143 275 1465 392 11 1 0
ODI 0 3 13 257 987 147 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 341 6234 121 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 329 372 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78074 7120 100 51 3 0 0 0
OW 1693 1378 243 295 23 3 0 0
VODI 2392 423 278 1157 321 23 5 0
ODI 0 64 80 511 767 173 51 0
CDI 0 2 2 27 624 5959 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 563 308 0

Date: 2024-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79143 6929 80 50 0 0 0 0
OW 1753 1262 279 166 7 0 0 0
VODI 2298 230 380 1431 247 3 0 0
ODI 0 11 23 336 857 97 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 860 5581 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 418 397 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79121 6439 91 55 0 0 0 0
OW 1722 1490 248 218 29 0 0 0
VODI 2351 404 310 1064 171 6 0 0
ODI 0 94 107 624 666 206 3 0
CDI 0 5 6 22 1098 4986 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 901 401 0

Date: 2024-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79810 6558 62 49 0 0 0 0
OW 1902 1243 241 219 9 0 0 0
VODI 2122 389 331 1297 214 11 0 0
ODI 0 34 45 337 668 115 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 4 1381 5247 119 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 187 266 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79678 6177 106 71 1 0 0 0
OW 1832 1345 168 260 54 0 0 0
VODI 2324 522 279 931 104 27 0 0
ODI 0 153 119 612 616 155 11 0
CDI 0 27 8 32 1497 5035 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 343 329 0


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