Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 383 4264 76 80 20 0 0 0
OW 0 1881 496 375 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 734 591 2157 906 13 0 0
ODI 0 174 136 1073 2979 576 1 0
CDI 0 5 19 418 3248 9535 0 0
VCDI 0 7 0 4 496 1407 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 559 4405 55 41 3 0 0 0
OW 0 2548 289 219 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 1183 664 1744 750 10 0 0
ODI 0 232 146 1084 3066 295 0 0
CDI 0 25 31 410 3302 9395 0 0
VCDI 0 2 0 1 524 1062 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1038 5537 60 26 0 0 0 0
OW 34 3232 516 298 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 434 543 1962 668 7 0 0
ODI 0 9 23 720 3760 1052 0 0
CDI 0 12 8 77 3473 8558 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1259 5868 44 20 0 0 0 0
OW 38 3046 451 255 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 525 485 1902 964 34 0 0
ODI 0 32 40 670 3797 2183 0 0
CDI 0 33 15 92 2966 7348 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1234 6264 74 52 0 0 0 0
OW 63 2580 433 260 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 595 467 1872 949 36 0 0
ODI 0 29 48 656 3656 1779 0 0
CDI 0 36 13 99 3116 7750 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1994 5735 42 22 0 0 0 0
OW 157 2644 376 322 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 631 400 1822 1210 36 0 0
ODI 0 122 49 577 3722 3176 51 0
CDI 0 34 14 105 2446 6321 50 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2016 5935 54 37 1 0 0 0
OW 133 2385 347 331 31 0 0 0
VODI 2 685 406 1757 1257 50 0 0
ODI 0 127 63 611 3527 2457 1 0
CDI 0 34 11 112 2586 7026 100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2631 6794 49 25 0 0 0 0
OW 67 2302 507 369 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 177 365 2032 515 16 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 460 6336 640 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 0 1314 7431 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2536 5885 26 14 0 0 0 0
OW 147 2473 340 402 25 0 0 0
VODI 15 722 477 1638 1243 102 0 0
ODI 0 180 74 621 3747 2590 0 0
CDI 0 24 5 211 3159 5394 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0

Date: 2024-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2874 6983 56 13 0 0 0 0
OW 72 2120 512 388 6 1 0 0
VODI 0 234 355 1824 891 2 0 0
ODI 0 12 6 465 5059 2123 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 1 713 7001 369 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2831 5893 42 16 0 0 0 0
OW 111 2492 384 511 44 0 0 0
VODI 4 742 405 1344 1450 183 0 0
ODI 0 214 92 473 2872 4175 157 0
CDI 0 10 6 347 2301 4767 212 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0

Date: 2024-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4028 6309 31 2 0 0 0 0
OW 348 1964 427 241 11 0 0 0
VODI 6 393 440 1633 1003 17 0 0
ODI 6 8 25 683 4860 1650 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 6 1317 6481 192 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3839 5113 15 7 0 0 0 0
OW 305 2573 418 451 26 0 0 0
VODI 116 783 337 1203 1195 345 0 0
ODI 126 171 105 430 3132 3812 64 0
CDI 2 34 49 473 2835 3991 128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 0


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