Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-07-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78305 19005 292 224 51 16 0 0
OW 1436 5282 1117 1133 151 30 1 0
VODI 2793 1826 1300 4321 2141 163 2 0
ODI 8 257 230 2179 7825 2692 1 0
CDI 15 25 30 529 6735 32352 75 0
VCDI 0 24 6 43 1126 7040 29 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81234 17182 181 135 37 6 0 0
OW 1453 6355 847 839 166 38 0 0
VODI 2765 2651 1361 3806 2250 122 0 0
ODI 13 336 256 2333 7585 855 12 0
CDI 10 58 42 552 7575 34893 458 0
VCDI 0 18 12 78 1167 3007 122 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82367 19749 249 154 29 1 0 0
OW 1641 6572 1154 901 87 19 0 0
VODI 2514 1112 1225 4520 1889 75 0 0
ODI 2 19 50 1737 9341 1840 15 0
CDI 6 98 27 126 9164 30601 952 0
VCDI 0 3 4 67 218 1762 520 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83928 19366 258 112 2 0 0 0
OW 1670 6254 1033 771 83 6 0 0
VODI 2474 1364 1202 4690 2553 90 1 0
ODI 2 56 92 1846 8819 2556 11 0
CDI 5 130 44 179 9548 29124 167 0
VCDI 0 4 2 52 680 1549 87 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83900 19928 295 146 2 0 0 0
OW 1697 5588 1013 781 98 8 0 0
VODI 2475 1464 1170 4620 2540 93 1 0
ODI 2 60 110 1864 8405 2192 10 0
CDI 5 93 34 171 9960 29374 172 0
VCDI 0 41 9 68 680 1658 83 0

Date: 2024-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85171 19349 231 134 2 0 0 0
OW 1782 5651 907 997 143 13 0 0
VODI 2432 1633 1106 4906 2891 209 11 0
ODI 2 167 123 1536 7973 3517 69 0
CDI 3 161 30 185 9507 25959 363 0
VCDI 0 39 13 44 991 2539 21 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85194 19760 240 146 3 0 0 0
OW 1754 5166 893 1026 140 25 0 0
VODI 2437 1691 1076 4754 2995 210 15 0
ODI 1 182 160 1640 7378 2910 15 0
CDI 4 127 21 189 10014 26535 411 0
VCDI 0 74 20 47 977 2557 23 0

Date: 2024-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86715 21104 232 134 6 0 0 0
OW 1787 4940 1171 985 80 0 0 0
VODI 2342 628 1027 5960 1772 48 1 0
ODI 0 61 26 966 13563 1865 19 0
CDI 0 125 26 45 4702 26375 312 0
VCDI 0 4 0 14 655 2111 1009 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86589 19155 201 99 4 0 0 0
OW 1841 5409 869 1152 159 22 0 0
VODI 2409 1800 1156 4900 2823 237 5 0
ODI 2 282 215 1629 6898 3133 51 0
CDI 3 142 26 303 10079 23667 883 0
VCDI 0 74 15 21 815 3340 402 0

Date: 2024-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88087 20768 227 108 8 0 0 0
OW 1827 4885 1149 939 78 5 0 0
VODI 2298 986 1295 5807 1642 26 0 0
ODI 0 92 45 1867 11621 2858 0 0
CDI 0 114 17 54 4906 22648 2364 0
VCDI 0 6 2 30 733 2018 1300 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88013 18507 226 131 9 0 0 0
OW 1839 5706 927 1231 238 23 0 0
VODI 2356 2009 1260 4755 2286 198 0 0
ODI 2 411 285 2112 5496 4565 165 0
CDI 2 149 26 541 10207 19780 1888 0
VCDI 0 69 11 35 752 2989 1611 0

Date: 2024-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90265 19473 198 126 11 1 0 0
OW 2250 4917 1072 913 100 14 0 0
VODI 2128 1288 1233 5422 2054 61 0 0
ODI 6 103 95 1829 10908 3227 3 0
CDI 0 118 13 89 5042 21788 2638 0
VCDI 0 11 11 78 590 1728 1007 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89939 17221 244 197 34 11 0 0
OW 2138 5844 922 1340 281 31 0 0
VODI 2441 2167 1071 4155 2038 430 0 0
ODI 128 393 297 1987 5665 4458 123 0
CDI 3 230 76 718 10106 18757 2072 0
VCDI 0 55 12 60 581 3132 1453 0


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