Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71890 10640 155 117 2 0 0 0
OW 1259 1205 234 330 78 1 0 0
VODI 2946 362 267 817 369 71 0 0
ODI 0 48 59 440 1235 578 8 0
CDI 0 1 3 81 1010 6981 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1503 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73354 9358 148 94 1 0 0 0
OW 1321 1133 242 364 86 1 0 0
VODI 2924 498 249 734 419 87 0 0
ODI 0 102 81 427 1040 573 10 0
CDI 0 0 7 111 1178 6590 562 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1093 72 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73798 9317 149 59 0 0 0 0
OW 1367 1331 312 372 13 2 0 0
VODI 2831 272 311 1132 445 21 0 0
ODI 0 11 40 286 1320 694 4 0
CDI 0 0 2 22 893 7195 128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 529 6 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74347 8453 89 33 0 0 0 0
OW 1400 1672 340 314 20 4 0 0
VODI 2808 553 416 1023 395 23 0 0
ODI 0 30 50 487 1700 391 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 883 7248 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 94 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74346 8601 87 28 0 0 0 0
OW 1399 1498 321 311 18 2 0 0
VODI 2810 581 439 992 352 24 0 0
ODI 0 28 48 530 1860 359 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 768 7128 50 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 247 4 0

Date: 2024-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75945 7132 43 16 0 0 0 0
OW 1435 1959 319 307 49 1 0 0
VODI 2775 699 326 844 328 10 0 0
ODI 0 54 57 689 1519 244 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 74 794 7096 130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75948 7280 50 32 0 0 0 0
OW 1430 1774 294 295 54 1 0 0
VODI 2777 737 341 822 311 12 0 0
ODI 0 53 60 711 1674 178 2 0
CDI 0 1 3 70 651 7057 127 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 116 1 0

Date: 2024-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76160 7789 92 46 0 0 0 0
OW 1553 1960 426 321 20 0 0 0
VODI 2528 238 245 1323 365 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 348 1547 205 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 500 6693 118 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 275 94 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76069 7131 59 26 0 0 0 0
OW 1428 1982 321 329 38 6 0 0
VODI 2744 808 312 759 224 22 0 0
ODI 0 66 69 834 1466 275 16 0
CDI 0 0 8 92 704 6876 198 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76516 7729 124 40 0 0 0 0
OW 1591 1767 336 261 6 0 0 0
VODI 2492 365 331 1193 450 6 1 0
ODI 0 0 10 403 1288 233 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 241 6658 481 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 120 199 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76365 6751 29 8 0 0 0 0
OW 1527 2101 361 322 56 0 0 0
VODI 2707 884 283 741 291 13 1 0
ODI 0 121 116 729 1320 252 18 0
CDI 0 4 12 110 309 6694 586 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 58 84 0

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76743 7948 123 59 0 0 0 0
OW 1607 1602 262 217 18 0 0 0
VODI 2455 405 321 1070 603 25 0 0
ODI 0 5 25 424 1067 128 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 457 6832 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 412 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76718 6793 52 16 2 0 0 0
OW 1552 2172 284 329 44 4 0 0
VODI 2535 849 253 696 353 28 0 0
ODI 0 134 126 643 1141 222 2 0
CDI 0 12 16 93 576 6483 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 660 0 0


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