Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 2498 99 107 35 1 0 0
OW 0 1542 324 306 80 1 0 0
VODI 0 562 486 1846 1124 36 0 0
ODI 0 43 72 683 2362 676 0 0
CDI 0 13 42 570 2524 10008 586 0
VCDI 0 0 2 8 749 3441 1226 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71 2832 118 92 37 8 0 0
OW 0 1749 314 351 91 1 0 0
VODI 0 603 474 1706 1116 41 0 0
ODI 0 74 73 700 1963 686 0 0
CDI 0 58 71 789 2243 9439 6 0
VCDI 0 2 2 7 645 5680 40 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 210 4015 86 60 31 2 0 0
OW 0 1694 389 203 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 530 588 2622 581 1 0 0
ODI 0 42 52 1204 3449 176 0 0
CDI 0 3 14 243 4528 8504 3 0
VCDI 0 5 1 3 318 2323 183 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 355 4309 74 54 23 0 0 0
OW 0 1790 457 334 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 629 599 2395 718 9 0 0
ODI 0 104 102 1040 2981 792 0 0
CDI 0 11 18 311 3128 9318 0 0
VCDI 0 7 0 0 681 1817 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 354 4397 80 60 24 0 0 0
OW 1 1729 495 359 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 607 548 2279 716 14 0 0
ODI 0 102 109 1119 3002 801 0 0
CDI 0 7 17 317 3124 8878 0 0
VCDI 0 8 1 0 662 2243 0 0

Date: 2024-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 405 4330 66 53 15 0 0 0
OW 0 2069 472 321 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 892 690 2019 794 29 0 0
ODI 0 179 131 1211 2989 382 0 0
CDI 0 12 22 349 3514 9597 0 0
VCDI 0 6 0 26 221 1244 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 405 4460 81 68 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1946 489 384 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 896 660 1951 829 51 0 0
ODI 0 160 128 1196 2892 531 0 0
CDI 0 18 23 341 3478 9357 0 0
VCDI 0 8 0 39 316 1313 0 0

Date: 2024-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 943 5363 56 39 0 0 0 0
OW 44 3064 586 377 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 399 524 2020 609 2 0 0
ODI 0 8 11 715 4203 272 2 0
CDI 0 12 7 74 3056 9671 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 903 4487 47 38 1 0 0 0
OW 82 2430 354 320 41 0 0 0
VODI 2 1450 532 1481 769 28 0 0
ODI 0 392 190 947 2558 551 3 0
CDI 0 80 60 431 3888 8116 7 0
VCDI 0 7 1 8 621 1257 0 0

Date: 2024-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1160 5677 55 22 1 0 0 0
OW 92 3159 468 252 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 492 526 1880 828 8 0 0
ODI 0 14 33 739 3508 1840 0 0
CDI 0 28 11 93 2912 8276 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1085 4493 51 25 1 0 0 0
OW 145 2828 375 359 47 0 0 0
VODI 22 1444 441 1311 855 56 0 0
ODI 0 480 157 843 2364 1460 0 0
CDI 0 122 69 446 3456 8321 0 0
VCDI 0 3 0 2 534 287 0 0

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1790 5624 52 17 0 0 0 0
OW 139 2780 392 268 14 1 0 0
VODI 4 632 450 1798 1178 29 0 0
ODI 0 68 54 672 3876 2515 0 0
CDI 0 39 12 95 2791 6782 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1447 4268 50 26 0 0 0 0
OW 363 2841 362 441 68 1 0 0
VODI 123 1300 350 1217 885 93 0 0
ODI 0 526 118 796 2592 1819 0 0
CDI 0 208 80 370 3581 7244 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 733 170 0 0


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