Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2515 4973 69 27 6 2 0 0
OW 24 2272 235 278 64 30 3 0
VODI 0 674 315 1058 878 171 2 0
ODI 0 112 63 534 3419 637 2 0
CDI 24 14 20 134 3915 8258 10 0
VCDI 9 2 3 37 740 12608 1729 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3531 4435 64 24 9 1 1 0
OW 56 2129 258 312 122 37 4 0
VODI 1 534 340 1119 909 196 10 0
ODI 0 87 59 536 3316 711 75 0
CDI 23 17 17 153 4623 7237 118 0
VCDI 10 8 8 43 720 12768 1245 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3831 5478 58 50 16 3 0 0
OW 19 1590 348 380 58 24 5 0
VODI 6 217 281 1213 668 83 8 0
ODI 8 32 27 385 4432 1758 19 0
CDI 17 15 5 54 3165 13504 141 0
VCDI 2 6 7 22 310 6621 1000 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3530 6109 78 56 23 7 0 0
OW 17 1612 301 392 75 29 1 0
VODI 10 411 334 1191 850 91 1 0
ODI 7 49 27 475 3229 2529 0 0
CDI 15 19 10 62 1090 15400 6 0
VCDI 0 11 6 41 343 7419 10 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3533 6188 90 65 31 11 0 0
OW 14 1513 274 386 77 28 1 0
VODI 8 422 340 1104 758 89 1 0
ODI 5 57 35 549 3200 2768 0 0
CDI 13 19 10 68 1212 14992 7 0
VCDI 6 12 7 45 332 7587 9 0

Date: 2024-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4195 5870 74 89 33 15 0 0
OW 4 1697 309 321 102 29 2 0
VODI 9 535 360 1209 1046 144 0 0
ODI 11 54 34 592 3413 644 0 0
CDI 13 28 9 26 4187 17547 16 0
VCDI 0 14 13 37 366 2778 41 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4195 5967 86 111 45 18 0 0
OW 4 1540 276 312 99 31 2 0
VODI 8 572 362 1100 1087 139 0 0
ODI 7 73 53 660 3371 643 0 0
CDI 16 31 9 58 4143 17123 16 0
VCDI 2 15 13 33 402 3203 41 0

Date: 2024-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4825 6475 109 94 21 0 0 0
OW 22 1497 308 264 50 11 0 0
VODI 1 362 332 1276 661 54 0 0
ODI 3 9 9 613 4713 533 1 0
CDI 5 67 16 49 2280 18339 504 0
VCDI 0 1 3 70 619 1205 465 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4819 5803 98 109 46 14 0 0
OW 4 1681 219 232 79 45 0 0
VODI 10 764 375 1244 1458 145 0 0
ODI 11 88 66 618 2569 396 5 0
CDI 11 43 0 56 3452 16753 791 0
VCDI 1 32 19 107 740 2789 174 0

Date: 2024-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5260 6317 75 50 15 0 0 0
OW 40 1506 234 313 94 7 0 0
VODI 1 493 347 1353 995 46 0 0
ODI 2 20 27 633 4222 133 0 0
CDI 5 84 25 70 7018 14200 155 0
VCDI 0 3 3 45 260 1804 11 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5237 5631 84 83 58 8 0 0
OW 34 1595 167 366 120 27 0 0
VODI 22 996 353 1241 1817 100 0 0
ODI 8 106 75 633 2295 117 0 0
CDI 7 35 9 54 7663 13346 155 0
VCDI 0 60 23 87 651 2592 11 0

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5420 6420 83 46 2 0 0 0
OW 3 1537 264 350 76 7 0 0
VODI 3 554 384 1912 1033 96 0 0
ODI 1 22 47 789 3411 210 0 0
CDI 4 123 21 64 6689 13499 325 0
VCDI 0 7 8 43 801 1439 173 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5390 5556 96 81 14 2 0 0
OW 15 1777 165 329 165 30 0 0
VODI 17 1003 381 1754 1141 203 0 0
ODI 2 189 130 896 1967 136 0 0
CDI 7 32 16 72 7637 13001 116 0
VCDI 0 106 19 72 1088 1879 382 0


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