Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-07-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74435 18111 323 251 43 3 0 0
OW 1283 5019 793 914 222 32 3 0
VODI 2946 1598 1068 3721 2371 278 2 0
ODI 0 203 194 1657 7016 1891 10 0
CDI 24 28 65 785 7449 25247 768 0
VCDI 9 2 5 45 1489 17552 2955 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76956 16625 330 210 47 9 1 0
OW 1377 5011 814 1027 299 39 4 0
VODI 2925 1635 1063 3559 2444 324 10 0
ODI 0 263 213 1663 6319 1970 85 0
CDI 23 75 95 1053 8044 23266 686 0
VCDI 10 10 10 50 1368 19541 1357 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77839 18810 293 169 47 5 0 0
OW 1386 4615 1049 955 90 26 5 0
VODI 2837 1019 1180 4967 1694 105 8 0
ODI 8 85 119 1875 9201 2628 23 0
CDI 17 18 21 319 8586 29203 272 0
VCDI 2 11 8 25 628 9473 1189 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78232 18871 241 143 46 7 0 0
OW 1417 5074 1098 1040 121 33 1 0
VODI 2818 1593 1349 4609 1963 123 1 0
ODI 7 183 179 2002 7910 3712 2 0
CDI 15 30 28 405 5101 31966 61 0
VCDI 0 18 6 41 1024 9330 10 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78233 19186 257 153 55 11 0 0
OW 1414 4740 1090 1056 124 30 1 0
VODI 2818 1610 1327 4375 1826 127 1 0
ODI 5 187 192 2198 8062 3928 3 0
CDI 13 26 27 413 5104 30998 57 0
VCDI 6 20 8 45 994 10077 13 0

Date: 2024-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80545 17332 183 158 48 15 0 0
OW 1439 5725 1100 949 195 30 2 0
VODI 2784 2126 1376 4072 2168 183 0 0
ODI 11 287 222 2492 7921 1270 0 0
CDI 13 41 34 449 8495 34240 146 0
VCDI 0 20 13 63 587 4035 41 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80548 17707 217 211 60 18 0 0
OW 1434 5260 1059 991 200 32 2 0
VODI 2785 2205 1363 3873 2227 202 0 0
ODI 7 286 241 2567 7937 1352 2 0
CDI 16 50 35 469 8272 33537 143 0
VCDI 2 23 13 72 718 4632 42 0

Date: 2024-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81928 19627 257 179 21 0 0 0
OW 1619 6521 1320 962 80 11 0 0
VODI 2529 999 1101 4619 1635 62 0 0
ODI 3 17 26 1676 10463 1010 5 0
CDI 5 79 23 125 5836 34703 630 0
VCDI 0 1 3 70 619 1487 559 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81791 17421 204 173 47 14 0 0
OW 1514 6093 894 881 158 51 0 0
VODI 2756 3022 1219 3484 2451 195 0 0
ODI 11 546 325 2399 6593 1222 24 0
CDI 11 123 68 579 8044 31745 996 0
VCDI 1 39 20 115 1361 4046 174 0

Date: 2024-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82936 19723 254 112 16 0 0 0
OW 1723 6432 1038 826 108 7 0 0
VODI 2493 1350 1204 4426 2273 60 1 0
ODI 2 34 70 1775 9018 2206 8 0
CDI 5 112 36 176 10171 29134 636 0
VCDI 0 3 3 45 260 1924 210 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82687 16875 164 116 59 8 0 0
OW 1706 6524 903 1047 223 27 0 0
VODI 2751 3324 1077 3293 2963 169 1 0
ODI 8 707 348 2205 5979 1829 18 0
CDI 7 161 90 610 11428 28361 741 0
VCDI 0 63 23 89 1194 2937 95 0

Date: 2024-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83953 19992 258 122 2 0 0 0
OW 1749 5919 918 835 108 8 0 0
VODI 2462 1591 1155 4780 2814 150 0 0
ODI 1 95 126 1885 8354 2853 3 0
CDI 4 162 33 166 9937 27113 379 0
VCDI 0 7 8 43 801 1851 173 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83555 16617 198 123 16 2 0 0
OW 1930 6790 811 1099 277 35 0 0
VODI 2675 3152 984 3667 2379 324 0 0
ODI 2 849 374 2335 5700 2177 2 0
CDI 7 252 112 535 11794 26728 171 0
VCDI 0 106 19 72 1850 2709 382 0


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