Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68049 13478 154 162 3 0 0 0
OW 1099 1218 252 418 152 2 0 0
VODI 3225 339 177 519 470 74 7 0
ODI 0 84 77 289 578 468 24 0
CDI 0 32 33 181 921 6153 1995 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1113 1116 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68290 12922 153 109 3 0 0 0
OW 1119 1283 213 447 132 0 0 0
VODI 3203 438 194 612 626 24 0 0
ODI 0 113 107 360 791 311 11 0
CDI 0 36 47 254 1380 6613 878 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1418 761 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70793 11200 173 123 1 0 0 0
OW 1233 1170 282 387 71 0 0 0
VODI 2981 243 246 914 565 28 0 0
ODI 0 20 43 440 1397 849 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 681 6758 273 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1694 238 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71350 10979 136 113 14 0 0 0
OW 1247 1193 264 377 66 1 0 0
VODI 2960 325 271 868 426 51 0 0
ODI 0 40 63 443 1250 688 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 75 1286 6480 194 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1624 69 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71350 10972 140 130 15 0 0 0
OW 1247 1176 258 362 71 0 0 0
VODI 2960 352 273 837 417 60 0 0
ODI 0 37 60 452 1265 792 4 0
CDI 0 0 3 95 1274 6357 233 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1635 35 0

Date: 2024-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71955 10695 142 148 11 0 0 0
OW 1271 1187 228 344 84 8 0 0
VODI 2933 420 244 755 384 106 0 0
ODI 0 61 71 446 998 635 5 0
CDI 0 0 4 90 879 6940 531 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1273 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71954 10652 148 156 11 0 0 0
OW 1269 1208 210 334 72 4 0 0
VODI 2936 431 250 733 409 99 0 0
ODI 0 66 74 439 987 787 0 0
CDI 0 6 7 121 877 6710 535 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1362 1 0

Date: 2024-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74092 9101 123 84 0 0 0 0
OW 1340 1250 313 367 22 0 0 0
VODI 2850 200 262 1037 485 21 0 0
ODI 0 1 19 258 1585 667 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 644 6793 324 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 513 496 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74025 8614 126 103 1 0 0 0
OW 1343 1156 228 419 89 5 0 0
VODI 2914 541 234 737 473 76 0 0
ODI 0 215 91 354 919 834 5 0
CDI 0 26 38 148 1254 5772 418 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1307 397 0

Date: 2024-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74600 8382 99 36 0 0 0 0
OW 1385 1452 346 350 9 3 0 0
VODI 2817 391 349 1168 413 17 0 0
ODI 0 19 49 398 1411 565 2 0
CDI 0 0 1 29 623 7564 162 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 220 2 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74558 8038 112 57 0 0 0 0
OW 1355 1204 267 452 96 8 0 0
VODI 2889 678 323 809 400 54 0 0
ODI 0 278 97 476 864 675 6 0
CDI 0 46 45 187 1096 6508 160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1124 0 0

Date: 2024-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74217 8578 132 59 0 0 0 0
OW 1425 1765 332 382 26 0 0 0
VODI 2784 639 375 981 346 2 0 0
ODI 0 35 61 595 1747 245 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 1765 6209 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74198 8158 152 93 3 0 0 0
OW 1363 1475 284 425 110 0 0 0
VODI 2865 910 286 647 281 7 0 0
ODI 0 443 149 709 1058 296 0 0
CDI 0 31 29 199 2432 5342 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 865 0 0


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