Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1037 68 44 22 19 0 0
OW 0 1185 188 238 114 42 0 0
VODI 0 560 320 762 615 80 0 0
ODI 0 57 115 887 2479 464 0 0
CDI 0 23 40 252 1877 8686 390 0
VCDI 0 0 7 70 1405 9205 831 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1172 74 71 40 11 0 0
OW 0 1412 216 263 145 1 0 0
VODI 0 645 349 880 740 20 0 0
ODI 0 133 162 863 2234 339 0 0
CDI 0 42 68 401 2444 8765 576 0
VCDI 0 1 9 282 2136 6921 667 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 2068 124 119 49 12 0 0
OW 0 1507 268 240 91 0 1 0
VODI 0 488 480 1687 931 10 0 0
ODI 0 21 70 645 3083 624 0 0
CDI 0 2 15 389 2081 11616 414 0
VCDI 0 0 2 13 941 3366 695 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17 2363 122 106 27 11 0 0
OW 0 1510 283 267 87 0 0 0
VODI 0 528 507 1832 1117 31 0 0
ODI 0 27 81 675 2398 813 0 0
CDI 0 5 28 661 2283 10722 370 0
VCDI 0 2 0 5 627 3708 869 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17 2475 130 113 38 11 0 0
OW 0 1414 292 278 101 0 0 0
VODI 0 517 497 1792 1087 25 0 0
ODI 0 23 74 693 2371 840 3 0
CDI 0 4 28 654 2249 10719 331 0
VCDI 0 2 0 16 693 3690 905 0

Date: 2024-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 2678 97 103 41 0 0 0
OW 0 1644 327 345 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 561 510 1804 1108 39 0 0
ODI 0 50 65 659 2054 836 0 0
CDI 0 24 47 470 1816 10530 176 0
VCDI 0 0 1 6 490 5004 482 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 2815 126 131 45 0 0 0
OW 0 1512 317 354 100 0 0 0
VODI 0 561 495 1747 1104 24 0 0
ODI 0 47 60 698 1989 947 0 0
CDI 0 12 39 441 1784 10184 155 0
VCDI 0 10 10 16 566 5254 503 0

Date: 2024-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116 3684 152 74 32 8 0 0
OW 0 1610 389 271 22 2 0 0
VODI 0 343 554 2590 752 12 0 0
ODI 0 26 33 922 3950 462 0 0
CDI 0 2 9 114 3649 9050 40 0
VCDI 0 3 1 5 484 2526 195 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116 3122 153 98 39 9 0 0
OW 0 1697 321 434 111 4 0 0
VODI 0 652 427 1560 1017 21 0 0
ODI 0 109 123 790 1802 593 0 0
CDI 0 83 112 937 4420 7867 224 0
VCDI 0 5 2 157 1500 3566 11 0

Date: 2024-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 302 4199 76 54 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1826 379 221 19 2 0 0
VODI 0 661 619 2482 556 6 0 0
ODI 0 72 81 1161 3011 553 0 0
CDI 0 6 11 249 3425 9106 144 0
VCDI 0 7 1 0 446 2371 12 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 300 3410 87 77 26 1 0 0
OW 2 2067 349 408 68 7 0 0
VODI 0 803 400 1624 551 8 0 0
ODI 0 214 178 896 1587 508 0 0
CDI 0 270 152 1003 3739 8245 118 0
VCDI 0 7 1 159 1510 3269 38 0

Date: 2024-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 383 4264 76 80 20 0 0 0
OW 0 1881 496 375 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 734 591 2157 906 13 0 0
ODI 0 174 136 1073 2979 576 1 0
CDI 0 5 19 418 3248 9535 0 0
VCDI 0 7 0 4 496 1407 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 378 3638 122 121 25 0 0 0
OW 5 2016 505 654 132 0 0 0
VODI 0 772 393 1292 757 39 1 0
ODI 0 289 117 821 1711 435 0 0
CDI 0 325 162 943 2981 8746 0 0
VCDI 0 25 19 276 2071 2311 0 0


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