Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-07-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2531 3720 75 32 3 1 0 0
OW 47 1594 274 280 36 8 7 0
VODI 12 594 287 782 455 71 15 0
ODI 0 157 168 832 1565 660 159 0
CDI 0 27 35 217 3422 3553 357 0
VCDI 0 17 11 89 1386 20845 1542 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2597 3851 64 27 3 4 0 0
OW 40 1660 222 230 45 29 4 0
VODI 4 732 224 738 523 94 12 0
ODI 0 451 171 758 1511 757 18 0
CDI 0 53 59 259 2707 4106 241 0
VCDI 0 9 6 38 2184 20000 1435 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2399 4750 99 43 4 1 0 0
OW 19 1945 318 316 46 11 0 0
VODI 1 495 371 1248 671 60 5 0
ODI 0 27 36 406 2309 1510 8 0
CDI 0 37 16 83 2654 8003 103 0
VCDI 0 11 5 45 2638 13598 1575 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2557 4882 63 31 2 2 0 0
OW 6 2135 263 270 38 29 4 0
VODI 0 597 345 1152 736 190 18 0
ODI 0 56 61 454 3336 489 13 0
CDI 24 31 19 122 5465 6840 94 0
VCDI 9 4 5 42 575 11429 3478 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2557 5076 69 44 8 4 0 0
OW 5 1939 272 318 49 34 7 0
VODI 1 589 327 1103 702 213 15 0
ODI 0 65 63 433 3257 488 13 0
CDI 23 32 20 131 5582 6462 76 0
VCDI 10 4 5 42 554 11778 3496 0

Date: 2024-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3068 4599 54 18 5 2 1 0
OW 23 2343 219 279 87 27 0 0
VODI 0 622 336 1120 879 194 2 0
ODI 0 98 76 510 2909 1190 4 0
CDI 24 12 14 156 4596 7432 57 0
VCDI 9 2 5 50 936 13424 484 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3060 4912 70 49 15 5 0 0
OW 31 2015 206 319 133 30 1 0
VODI 0 613 333 1044 781 260 2 0
ODI 0 122 77 526 2904 1093 4 0
CDI 23 12 13 142 4537 7048 57 0
VCDI 10 2 5 53 1042 13833 484 0

Date: 2024-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3785 5367 61 28 7 0 0 0
OW 23 1669 324 357 44 23 4 0
VODI 6 225 285 1301 549 80 7 0
ODI 7 24 24 400 5125 1081 10 0
CDI 17 5 6 50 2161 12652 221 0
VCDI 3 5 11 22 366 8697 834 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3764 4706 58 58 23 16 1 0
OW 44 1807 193 371 180 45 8 0
VODI 0 636 360 930 757 351 22 0
ODI 0 113 70 562 3036 1001 43 0
CDI 23 28 19 190 3407 7943 96 0
VCDI 10 5 11 47 849 13177 906 0

Date: 2024-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4148 5303 57 58 19 0 0 0
OW 13 1606 338 368 79 11 4 0
VODI 7 297 289 1221 720 147 8 0
ODI 11 38 29 420 4287 2032 5 0
CDI 15 17 6 61 1435 14329 255 0
VCDI 0 7 7 27 217 7701 274 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4138 4520 61 94 41 6 0 0
OW 23 1854 229 372 161 73 4 0
VODI 0 705 308 873 984 333 13 0
ODI 0 126 94 608 2882 1198 0 0
CDI 25 54 24 155 2452 8796 187 0
VCDI 8 9 10 53 237 13814 342 0

Date: 2024-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3705 6163 84 85 31 16 0 0
OW 11 1636 289 376 97 30 1 0
VODI 9 453 334 1183 889 148 2 0
ODI 8 48 33 511 3099 1871 0 0
CDI 15 20 11 55 1722 16608 23 0
VCDI 0 17 6 39 630 5579 29 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3683 5215 54 48 15 4 0 0
OW 32 2049 201 363 183 81 1 0
VODI 0 805 327 822 999 429 2 0
ODI 4 185 138 785 2189 1274 0 0
CDI 23 61 24 170 1517 10959 10 0
VCDI 6 22 13 61 1565 11505 42 0


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