Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-07-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70580 18235 297 238 28 20 0 0
OW 1146 3997 714 936 302 52 7 0
VODI 3237 1493 784 2063 1540 225 22 0
ODI 0 298 360 2008 4622 1592 183 0
CDI 0 82 108 650 6220 18392 2742 0
VCDI 0 17 18 159 2791 31163 3489 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70887 17945 291 207 46 15 0 0
OW 1159 4355 651 940 322 30 4 0
VODI 3207 1815 767 2230 1889 138 12 0
ODI 0 697 440 1981 4536 1407 29 0
CDI 0 131 174 914 6531 19484 1695 0
VCDI 0 10 15 320 4334 28339 2863 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73222 18018 396 285 54 13 0 0
OW 1252 4622 868 943 208 11 1 0
VODI 2982 1226 1097 3849 2167 98 5 0
ODI 0 68 149 1491 6789 2983 25 0
CDI 0 39 31 514 5416 26377 790 0
VCDI 0 11 7 58 3579 18658 2508 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73924 18224 321 250 43 13 0 0
OW 1253 4838 810 914 191 30 4 0
VODI 2960 1450 1123 3852 2279 272 18 0
ODI 0 123 205 1572 6984 1990 22 0
CDI 24 36 47 858 9034 24042 658 0
VCDI 9 6 5 47 1202 16761 4416 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73924 18523 339 287 61 15 0 0
OW 1252 4529 822 958 221 34 7 0
VODI 2961 1458 1097 3732 2206 298 15 0
ODI 0 125 197 1578 6893 2120 20 0
CDI 23 36 51 880 9105 23538 640 0
VCDI 10 6 5 58 1247 17103 4436 0

Date: 2024-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75059 17972 293 269 57 2 1 0
OW 1294 5174 774 968 250 35 0 0
VODI 2933 1603 1090 3679 2371 339 2 0
ODI 0 209 212 1615 5961 2661 9 0
CDI 24 36 65 716 7291 24902 764 0
VCDI 9 2 6 56 1440 19701 966 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75050 18379 344 336 71 5 0 0
OW 1300 4735 733 1007 305 34 1 0
VODI 2936 1605 1078 3524 2294 383 2 0
ODI 0 235 211 1663 5880 2827 4 0
CDI 23 30 59 704 7198 23942 747 0
VCDI 10 12 15 69 1622 20449 988 0

Date: 2024-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77993 18152 336 186 39 8 0 0
OW 1363 4529 1026 995 88 25 4 0
VODI 2856 768 1101 4928 1786 113 7 0
ODI 7 51 76 1580 10660 2210 10 0
CDI 17 7 15 179 6454 28495 585 0
VCDI 3 8 12 27 850 11736 1525 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77905 16442 337 259 63 25 1 0
OW 1387 4660 742 1224 380 54 8 0
VODI 2914 1829 1021 3227 2247 448 22 0
ODI 0 437 284 1706 5757 2428 48 0
CDI 23 137 169 1275 9081 21582 738 0
VCDI 10 10 13 204 2349 18050 1314 0

Date: 2024-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79050 17884 232 148 43 0 0 0
OW 1398 4884 1063 939 107 16 4 0
VODI 2824 1349 1257 4871 1689 170 8 0
ODI 11 129 159 1979 8709 3150 7 0
CDI 15 23 18 339 5483 30999 561 0
VCDI 0 14 8 27 663 10292 288 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78996 15968 260 228 67 7 0 0
OW 1380 5125 845 1232 325 88 4 0
VODI 2889 2186 1031 3306 1935 395 13 0
ODI 0 618 369 1980 5333 2381 6 0
CDI 25 370 221 1345 7287 23549 465 0
VCDI 8 16 11 212 1747 18207 380 0

Date: 2024-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78305 19005 292 224 51 16 0 0
OW 1436 5282 1117 1133 151 30 1 0
VODI 2793 1826 1300 4321 2141 163 2 0
ODI 8 257 230 2179 7825 2692 1 0
CDI 15 25 30 529 6735 32352 75 0
VCDI 0 24 6 43 1126 7040 29 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78259 17011 328 262 43 4 0 0
OW 1400 5540 990 1442 425 81 1 0
VODI 2865 2487 1006 2761 2037 475 3 0
ODI 4 917 404 2315 4958 2005 0 0
CDI 23 417 215 1312 6930 25047 62 0
VCDI 6 47 32 337 3636 14681 42 0


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