Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66940 13257 136 95 18 0 0 0
OW 1043 1893 372 428 95 13 0 0
VODI 3305 318 211 763 433 56 0 0
ODI 0 36 41 266 565 205 4 0
CDI 0 43 33 159 978 2414 1008 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 183 1639 5437 473
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67330 13343 125 111 28 0 0 0
OW 1048 1807 330 350 143 14 0 0
VODI 3296 366 204 571 363 80 1 0
ODI 0 62 49 266 330 320 14 0
CDI 0 67 39 270 1207 2657 964 0
VCDI 0 0 1 8 476 2918 3677 27
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67144 14380 221 258 44 0 0 0
OW 1085 1272 307 373 93 6 0 0
VODI 3243 201 201 591 409 30 0 0
ODI 0 24 29 262 718 318 12 0
CDI 0 26 26 149 1250 5268 599 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 1732 2552 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67587 14079 194 191 16 0 0 0
OW 1094 1241 257 383 133 3 0 0
VODI 3231 290 186 474 438 52 0 0
ODI 0 64 68 245 611 386 7 0
CDI 0 32 26 188 859 5965 1846 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1146 1560 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67587 14076 200 210 17 0 0 0
OW 1094 1212 243 371 133 2 0 0
VODI 3231 315 191 462 425 55 0 0
ODI 0 69 68 254 644 387 6 0
CDI 0 34 29 184 836 5726 1763 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 1382 1644 0

Date: 2024-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68272 13063 156 131 1 0 0 0
OW 1103 1206 264 422 127 1 0 0
VODI 3220 395 216 569 537 53 0 0
ODI 0 99 91 326 696 365 18 0
CDI 0 35 42 212 993 6617 1702 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 981 947 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68272 13029 178 171 0 0 0 0
OW 1103 1226 244 394 144 0 0 0
VODI 3220 394 214 534 478 41 1 0
ODI 0 118 92 361 809 413 22 0
CDI 0 31 41 200 913 6257 1601 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 1306 1043 0

Date: 2024-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69583 12285 155 147 3 0 0 0
OW 1226 1187 272 397 54 0 0 0
VODI 2989 227 288 926 537 8 0 0
ODI 0 20 30 451 1797 548 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 737 6650 249 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 906 1134 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69476 11801 128 140 9 0 0 0
OW 1128 1263 242 446 79 0 0 0
VODI 3194 455 207 657 481 14 0 0
ODI 0 168 118 434 974 275 5 0
CDI 0 32 50 296 1528 6014 660 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 57 1809 720 0

Date: 2024-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71115 10978 161 127 2 0 0 0
OW 1241 1213 280 387 79 0 0 0
VODI 2971 276 229 835 550 61 0 0
ODI 0 27 43 412 1352 770 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 1086 6590 284 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1639 81 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71014 10513 131 143 10 0 0 0
OW 1135 1252 241 401 114 7 0 0
VODI 3178 507 177 596 420 81 1 0
ODI 0 184 112 360 788 442 14 0
CDI 0 38 52 326 1702 6083 302 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 2447 53 0

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71890 10640 155 117 2 0 0 0
OW 1259 1205 234 330 78 1 0 0
VODI 2946 362 267 817 369 71 0 0
ODI 0 48 59 440 1235 578 8 0
CDI 0 1 3 81 1010 6981 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1503 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71787 10151 149 132 2 0 0 0
OW 1147 1241 206 347 110 3 0 0
VODI 3161 557 185 627 349 76 0 0
ODI 0 236 97 274 717 412 18 0
CDI 0 71 81 405 1482 5640 160 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 3003 2 0


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