Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 469 48 58 40 31 0 0
OW 0 829 113 80 66 58 2 0
VODI 0 482 240 474 347 134 12 0
ODI 0 126 84 488 1617 509 44 0
CDI 0 42 55 295 2202 4582 521 0
VCDI 0 3 8 102 619 10244 5131 1927
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 550 53 57 44 38 0 0
OW 0 907 95 109 91 82 0 0
VODI 0 618 231 478 442 135 10 0
ODI 0 149 120 488 1597 436 12 0
CDI 0 69 51 400 2329 4226 409 0
VCDI 0 4 18 127 1346 11209 5005 147
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 824 58 59 48 25 0 0
OW 0 1066 178 133 88 27 0 0
VODI 0 314 295 890 462 56 0 0
ODI 0 13 52 667 3082 637 0 0
CDI 0 20 36 223 1487 7733 348 0
VCDI 0 0 1 82 1032 8493 3653 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 946 55 51 30 18 0 0
OW 0 1172 146 187 95 51 0 0
VODI 0 437 373 722 596 91 0 0
ODI 0 21 73 807 2739 457 0 0
CDI 0 28 36 233 1717 8460 463 0
VCDI 0 8 3 46 782 8350 2889 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1057 55 48 41 20 0 0
OW 0 1068 163 201 97 41 0 0
VODI 0 416 344 715 672 90 0 0
ODI 0 37 84 806 2463 414 1 0
CDI 0 33 37 250 2078 8615 404 0
VCDI 0 1 3 26 608 8247 2947 0

Date: 2024-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1176 54 51 31 7 0 0
OW 0 1267 219 251 107 33 0 0
VODI 0 647 275 808 619 56 0 0
ODI 0 76 137 929 2396 318 0 0
CDI 0 41 57 307 2122 9392 542 0
VCDI 0 0 3 160 2101 7252 648 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1289 73 61 40 8 0 0
OW 0 1152 219 277 90 31 0 0
VODI 0 642 245 743 670 57 0 0
ODI 0 91 142 932 2139 280 0 0
CDI 0 33 66 427 2612 9177 416 0
VCDI 0 0 0 66 1825 7505 774 0

Date: 2024-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1891 119 117 46 11 0 0
OW 0 1464 288 227 90 0 1 0
VODI 0 430 440 1560 764 5 0 0
ODI 0 24 59 624 3546 606 0 0
CDI 0 2 13 410 2423 11547 342 0
VCDI 0 0 2 9 1129 3259 634 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1382 110 137 61 11 1 0
OW 0 1379 206 245 187 0 0 0
VODI 0 762 315 803 875 27 0 0
ODI 0 217 196 884 1734 396 0 0
CDI 0 70 85 636 2985 7720 207 0
VCDI 0 1 9 242 2156 7274 769 0

Date: 2024-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 2224 127 109 30 14 0 0
OW 0 1485 306 255 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 508 496 1781 1053 17 0 0
ODI 0 24 55 628 2606 875 0 0
CDI 0 6 16 523 2422 11039 407 0
VCDI 0 1 1 5 851 3479 634 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 1570 126 149 33 14 0 0
OW 0 1443 224 307 168 2 0 0
VODI 0 886 348 954 838 42 0 0
ODI 0 247 197 905 1508 650 1 0
CDI 0 98 103 876 2850 7924 101 0
VCDI 0 4 3 110 1651 6792 939 0

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 2498 99 107 35 1 0 0
OW 0 1542 324 306 80 1 0 0
VODI 0 562 486 1846 1124 36 0 0
ODI 0 43 72 683 2362 676 0 0
CDI 0 13 42 570 2524 10008 586 0
VCDI 0 0 2 8 749 3441 1226 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 1766 128 131 30 1 0 0
OW 0 1417 213 325 165 2 0 0
VODI 0 993 305 1079 717 68 0 0
ODI 0 375 239 889 1394 810 0 0
CDI 0 102 121 979 3400 7699 184 0
VCDI 0 5 19 117 1168 5583 1628 0


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