Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1703 2914 44 32 7 0 0 0
OW 63 1587 234 239 67 4 3 0
VODI 21 695 190 627 445 159 25 0
ODI 5 234 95 497 810 354 114 0
CDI 0 101 44 232 1767 4986 1349 0
VCDI 0 31 23 224 1623 15658 7925 735
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2066 2673 30 35 4 1 1 0
OW 69 1573 229 250 57 11 13 0
VODI 26 779 188 601 466 105 25 0
ODI 1 364 110 446 731 438 103 0
CDI 0 103 47 469 1939 4158 1229 0
VCDI 0 31 27 77 1643 15791 8593 364
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2392 3377 36 19 0 0 3 0
OW 47 1744 266 221 33 6 5 0
VODI 13 402 287 966 452 68 21 0
ODI 0 57 75 574 1359 550 43 0
CDI 0 17 17 130 1023 6985 1272 0
VCDI 0 18 4 19 1452 15956 5957 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2439 3685 62 18 1 4 0 0
OW 46 1607 254 300 28 12 4 0
VODI 18 461 330 872 409 116 3 0
ODI 0 98 109 818 1535 693 88 0
CDI 0 17 26 225 2050 5006 462 0
VCDI 0 18 5 25 1306 20203 2512 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2446 3827 72 29 1 5 0 0
OW 37 1455 235 322 34 11 4 0
VODI 20 475 339 829 406 124 6 0
ODI 0 90 106 833 1566 715 110 0
CDI 0 17 27 203 2006 5063 430 0
VCDI 0 22 7 42 1316 20116 2519 1

Date: 2024-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2604 3818 59 24 5 1 0 0
OW 50 1637 262 230 30 21 0 0
VODI 8 584 283 747 483 81 9 0
ODI 0 194 194 843 1566 675 242 0
CDI 0 34 56 226 3105 3906 175 0
VCDI 0 15 4 36 1148 21528 983 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2613 3969 70 35 6 0 0 0
OW 40 1493 253 257 32 19 0 0
VODI 8 599 288 707 506 86 9 0
ODI 1 166 180 829 1536 684 240 0
CDI 0 32 55 230 3125 3985 155 0
VCDI 0 23 12 48 1132 21438 1005 0

Date: 2024-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2616 4509 81 24 1 1 0 0
OW 19 1905 330 394 26 6 0 0
VODI 1 407 322 1237 606 32 3 0
ODI 0 25 28 353 3150 819 21 0
CDI 0 34 18 62 1640 9968 353 0
VCDI 0 3 5 34 1315 13882 1636 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2605 3992 62 32 6 5 0 0
OW 27 1526 253 283 58 36 0 0
VODI 4 783 228 763 596 146 9 0
ODI 0 501 169 701 1440 509 40 0
CDI 0 54 67 289 2788 4968 287 0
VCDI 0 27 5 36 1850 19044 1677 0

Date: 2024-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2533 4780 56 28 3 1 0 0
OW 4 2076 272 245 33 22 2 0
VODI 1 643 347 1209 732 70 12 0
ODI 0 39 48 436 3206 556 15 0
CDI 0 54 14 87 4795 6036 460 0
VCDI 0 12 7 39 2063 13309 1621 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2516 4186 55 44 6 14 0 0
OW 16 1703 225 244 99 42 6 0
VODI 5 939 264 851 793 288 16 0
ODI 1 643 126 560 1240 321 5 0
CDI 0 100 67 303 4740 2497 81 0
VCDI 0 33 7 42 3954 16832 2002 0

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2515 4973 69 27 6 2 0 0
OW 24 2272 235 278 64 30 3 0
VODI 0 674 315 1058 878 171 2 0
ODI 0 112 63 534 3419 637 2 0
CDI 24 14 20 134 3915 8258 10 0
VCDI 9 2 3 37 740 12608 1729 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2503 4343 58 36 16 24 0 0
OW 32 1729 200 260 108 41 0 0
VODI 4 1285 234 805 783 317 0 0
ODI 0 551 130 521 1249 390 7 0
CDI 4 137 80 409 5438 5220 14 0
VCDI 29 2 3 37 1428 15714 1725 0


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