Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-06-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68643 16640 228 185 65 31 0 0
OW 1106 4309 719 747 228 75 5 0
VODI 3326 1495 641 1864 1225 349 37 0
ODI 5 396 220 1251 2992 1068 162 0
CDI 0 186 132 686 4947 11982 2878 0
VCDI 0 34 31 328 2425 27541 18493 3135
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69396 16566 208 203 76 39 1 0
OW 1117 4287 654 709 291 107 13 0
VODI 3322 1763 623 1650 1271 320 36 0
ODI 1 575 279 1200 2658 1194 129 0
CDI 0 239 137 1139 5475 11041 2602 0
VCDI 0 35 46 212 3465 29918 17275 538
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69536 18581 315 336 92 25 3 0
OW 1132 4082 751 727 214 39 5 0
VODI 3256 917 783 2447 1323 154 21 0
ODI 0 94 156 1503 5159 1505 55 0
CDI 0 63 79 502 3760 19986 2219 0
VCDI 0 18 5 101 2523 26181 12162 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70026 18710 311 260 47 22 0 0
OW 1140 4020 657 870 256 66 4 0
VODI 3249 1188 889 2068 1443 259 3 0
ODI 0 183 250 1870 4885 1536 95 0
CDI 0 77 88 646 4626 19431 2771 0
VCDI 0 26 8 71 2098 29699 6961 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70033 18960 327 287 59 25 0 0
OW 1131 3735 641 894 264 54 4 0
VODI 3251 1206 874 2006 1503 269 6 0
ODI 0 196 258 1893 4673 1516 117 0
CDI 0 84 93 637 4920 19404 2597 0
VCDI 0 23 10 68 1936 29745 7110 1

Date: 2024-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70876 18057 269 206 37 8 0 0
OW 1153 4110 745 903 264 55 0 0
VODI 3228 1626 774 2124 1639 190 9 0
ODI 0 369 422 2098 4658 1358 260 0
CDI 0 110 155 745 6220 19915 2419 0
VCDI 0 15 7 196 3251 29761 2578 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70885 18287 321 267 46 8 0 0
OW 1143 3871 716 928 266 50 0 0
VODI 3228 1635 747 1984 1654 184 10 0
ODI 1 375 414 2122 4484 1377 262 0
CDI 0 96 162 857 6650 19419 2172 0
VCDI 0 23 12 114 2969 30249 2822 0

Date: 2024-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72199 18685 355 288 50 12 0 0
OW 1245 4556 890 1018 170 6 1 0
VODI 2990 1064 1050 3723 1907 45 3 0
ODI 0 69 117 1428 8493 1973 23 0
CDI 0 36 31 526 4800 28165 944 0
VCDI 0 3 7 43 2444 18047 3404 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72081 17175 300 309 76 16 1 0
OW 1155 4168 701 974 324 36 0 0
VODI 3198 2000 750 2223 1952 187 9 0
ODI 0 886 483 2019 4148 1180 45 0
CDI 0 156 202 1221 7301 18702 1154 0
VCDI 0 28 14 280 4063 28127 3166 0

Date: 2024-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73667 17982 344 264 35 15 0 0
OW 1245 4774 858 887 198 22 2 0
VODI 2972 1427 1072 3825 2335 148 12 0
ODI 0 90 146 1476 7164 2201 20 0
CDI 0 60 30 675 8303 23665 1151 0
VCDI 0 13 8 44 2917 18427 2336 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73549 16269 312 336 49 28 0 0
OW 1151 4398 690 952 381 51 6 0
VODI 3183 2332 789 2401 2051 411 17 0
ODI 1 1074 435 1825 3536 1413 20 0
CDI 0 236 222 1505 9292 16504 484 0
VCDI 0 37 10 152 5643 26071 2994 0

Date: 2024-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74435 18111 323 251 43 3 0 0
OW 1283 5019 793 914 222 32 3 0
VODI 2946 1598 1068 3721 2371 278 2 0
ODI 0 203 194 1657 7016 1891 10 0
CDI 24 28 65 785 7449 25247 768 0
VCDI 9 2 5 45 1489 17552 2955 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74320 16260 335 299 48 25 0 0
OW 1179 4387 619 932 383 46 0 0
VODI 3165 2835 724 2511 1849 461 0 0
ODI 0 1162 466 1684 3360 1612 25 0
CDI 4 310 282 1793 10320 18559 358 0
VCDI 29 7 22 154 2630 24300 3355 0


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