Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65818 11705 60 55 11 11 0 0
OW 1045 2619 337 383 66 8 0 0
VODI 3363 632 366 979 504 59 3 0
ODI 0 65 55 413 952 242 30 0
CDI 0 3 13 176 933 2166 1756 6
VCDI 0 0 0 4 64 557 5924 1479
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66110 11586 74 45 5 1 0 0
OW 1033 2629 314 414 79 8 0 0
VODI 3351 770 285 979 509 34 0 0
ODI 0 129 79 443 835 266 27 0
CDI 0 23 29 189 1013 2202 1498 1
VCDI 0 0 0 3 62 632 5792 1413
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66649 12461 105 54 6 2 0 0
OW 1030 2363 410 399 59 15 0 0
VODI 3322 243 275 1186 470 50 0 0
ODI 0 15 15 272 821 203 8 0
CDI 0 7 5 68 852 2182 622 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 22 1110 6827 732
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66847 12944 123 96 14 3 0 0
OW 1042 1968 355 446 82 19 1 0
VODI 3314 259 250 857 552 55 0 0
ODI 0 34 32 249 651 185 4 0
CDI 0 24 25 139 846 2397 1295 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 110 1250 6121 269
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66856 13375 150 108 17 5 0 0
OW 1033 1534 336 485 94 16 1 0
VODI 3314 262 235 807 576 60 0 0
ODI 0 33 39 239 587 156 7 0
CDI 0 24 23 141 859 2384 1222 0
VCDI 0 1 2 11 122 1288 6191 269

Date: 2024-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67210 13336 113 92 19 0 0 0
OW 1045 1825 365 389 123 17 0 0
VODI 3299 328 214 655 389 77 1 0
ODI 0 44 49 254 394 295 13 0
CDI 0 57 34 217 898 2625 852 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 126 2751 4510 237
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67210 13685 146 112 27 0 0 0
OW 1045 1481 337 404 124 15 0 0
VODI 3299 314 205 626 419 83 1 0
ODI 0 49 50 243 338 262 8 0
CDI 0 61 36 219 895 2706 773 0
VCDI 0 0 1 12 146 2699 4594 237

Date: 2024-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67270 14204 205 182 51 0 0 0
OW 1079 1266 336 365 84 1 0 0
VODI 3249 193 211 675 385 23 0 0
ODI 0 21 18 293 803 392 3 0
CDI 0 14 23 137 1736 4170 401 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 2208 2787 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67257 13643 186 205 37 0 0 0
OW 1047 1481 311 370 152 3 0 0
VODI 3294 406 169 481 418 54 3 0
ODI 0 85 78 264 318 273 9 0
CDI 0 82 44 312 1568 2701 601 0
VCDI 0 1 5 20 643 3763 2578 0

Date: 2024-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67372 14254 229 259 23 0 0 0
OW 1089 1236 284 394 128 1 0 0
VODI 3237 234 190 524 406 40 0 0
ODI 0 39 56 232 665 334 0 0
CDI 0 27 21 169 898 5701 1268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 1659 1836 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67359 13655 202 277 24 0 0 0
OW 1061 1405 261 377 160 3 0 0
VODI 3278 422 144 364 427 57 1 0
ODI 0 176 87 255 370 363 14 0
CDI 0 113 81 273 1055 3222 593 0
VCDI 0 19 5 32 139 4090 2496 2

Date: 2024-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68049 13478 154 162 3 0 0 0
OW 1099 1218 252 418 152 2 0 0
VODI 3225 339 177 519 470 74 7 0
ODI 0 84 77 289 578 468 24 0
CDI 0 32 33 181 921 6153 1995 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1113 1116 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68037 13030 225 261 27 0 0 0
OW 1070 1312 186 462 213 7 0 0
VODI 3266 420 125 325 431 143 2 0
ODI 0 209 70 236 374 428 78 0
CDI 0 177 85 267 964 3153 500 0
VCDI 0 3 2 18 115 4079 2562 0


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