Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 198 13 18 12 31 0 0
OW 0 436 82 76 39 35 0 0
VODI 0 478 200 322 198 116 3 0
ODI 0 170 87 379 780 667 16 0
CDI 0 105 64 352 1474 3562 1211 4
VCDI 0 0 1 31 181 3557 10855 6329
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 220 10 25 55 3 0 0
OW 0 417 88 70 64 19 0 0
VODI 0 534 187 349 313 68 4 0
ODI 0 211 105 478 1057 699 39 0
CDI 0 98 62 379 1574 3235 1418 0
VCDI 0 0 0 34 597 5453 9449 4768
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 331 26 30 64 2 0 0
OW 0 777 136 87 77 13 0 0
VODI 0 382 236 587 342 57 0 0
ODI 0 49 38 532 1857 676 16 0
CDI 0 15 30 201 1630 4064 897 0
VCDI 0 0 2 76 827 8945 7189 1891
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 387 41 67 38 26 0 0
OW 0 807 126 87 60 50 0 0
VODI 0 401 234 557 343 115 10 0
ODI 0 81 70 553 1630 688 29 0
CDI 0 33 50 252 1592 5023 480 0
VCDI 0 2 12 107 747 10420 5081 1883
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 435 40 62 39 23 0 0
OW 0 769 140 109 61 46 0 0
VODI 0 399 237 523 312 120 7 0
ODI 0 76 59 558 1639 668 22 0
CDI 0 30 45 262 1618 5009 595 3
VCDI 0 2 12 109 741 10456 4976 1880

Date: 2024-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 548 50 55 46 27 0 0
OW 0 850 103 102 79 74 0 0
VODI 0 586 226 438 409 125 9 0
ODI 0 151 105 474 1620 399 29 0
CDI 0 60 46 357 2144 4130 566 0
VCDI 0 2 7 96 982 10496 5522 1169
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 595 48 47 38 28 0 0
OW 0 815 114 111 76 72 0 0
VODI 0 594 215 387 347 114 7 0
ODI 0 135 109 508 1649 424 23 0
CDI 0 54 44 373 2195 4096 607 0
VCDI 0 4 7 96 975 10517 5489 1169

Date: 2024-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 812 55 49 50 23 0 0
OW 0 1098 167 106 60 35 0 0
VODI 0 322 310 852 389 57 0 0
ODI 0 16 50 581 3285 617 1 0
CDI 0 16 25 215 1384 7490 368 0
VCDI 0 3 7 76 1162 7281 4869 251
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 632 48 45 53 37 0 0
OW 0 815 130 143 105 76 0 0
VODI 0 640 228 492 488 110 0 0
ODI 0 108 118 607 1716 386 7 0
CDI 0 59 72 421 2341 4733 857 2
VCDI 0 13 18 171 1627 10161 4374 249

Date: 2024-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 855 58 57 28 32 0 0
OW 0 1108 151 157 80 42 0 0
VODI 0 387 328 809 508 79 0 0
ODI 0 30 49 715 2870 629 0 0
CDI 0 20 33 226 1641 8191 618 0
VCDI 0 0 0 60 867 8637 2796 21
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 581 47 54 30 37 0 0
OW 0 876 104 214 124 63 0 0
VODI 0 699 264 462 628 103 0 0
ODI 0 171 125 717 1639 391 0 0
CDI 0 73 77 510 2549 6536 600 0
VCDI 0 0 2 67 1024 10480 2814 21

Date: 2024-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1037 68 44 22 19 0 0
OW 0 1185 188 238 114 42 0 0
VODI 0 560 320 762 615 80 0 0
ODI 0 57 115 887 2479 464 0 0
CDI 0 23 40 252 1877 8686 390 0
VCDI 0 0 7 70 1405 9205 831 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 628 65 62 39 12 0 0
OW 0 941 110 203 127 30 0 0
VODI 0 863 224 426 647 102 0 0
ODI 0 328 206 890 1480 411 0 0
CDI 0 95 120 626 3237 7252 128 0
VCDI 0 7 13 46 982 10689 1093 0


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