Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1504 2206 32 18 3 0 0 0
OW 17 1546 177 256 66 22 3 0
VODI 0 804 178 527 257 134 16 1
ODI 0 295 68 267 499 334 126 6
CDI 0 321 136 405 1156 2543 1214 21
VCDI 0 31 30 106 474 7210 19965 2892
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1494 2157 29 21 4 0 0 0
OW 5 1591 251 255 76 30 7 0
VODI 0 733 161 454 275 134 41 0
ODI 0 348 83 257 502 349 108 0
CDI 0 379 129 365 1469 2309 1424 0
VCDI 0 27 31 144 1131 11114 14088 3891
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1617 2721 59 36 4 0 0 0
OW 5 1947 184 186 48 3 1 0
VODI 0 649 195 654 345 26 15 0
ODI 0 182 95 548 936 336 78 0
CDI 0 82 36 219 1320 5517 1192 0
VCDI 0 2 10 81 901 11325 13318 993
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1610 2929 69 40 4 0 0 0
OW 69 1626 228 222 66 4 2 0
VODI 19 694 212 646 442 80 18 0
ODI 3 206 84 472 866 410 78 0
CDI 0 94 37 242 1650 4934 1673 0
VCDI 0 27 16 226 1416 15443 8375 634
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1612 3056 90 51 14 0 0 0
OW 64 1444 203 219 66 6 3 0
VODI 22 736 212 627 431 103 20 0
ODI 3 216 88 474 826 360 68 0
CDI 0 94 35 233 1698 5095 1745 0
VCDI 0 30 18 244 1409 15307 8310 634

Date: 2024-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1777 2903 22 26 3 0 0 0
OW 68 1617 224 227 54 3 10 0
VODI 25 749 194 620 475 91 38 0
ODI 2 273 98 484 768 395 101 0
CDI 0 116 53 310 1612 4621 1530 5
VCDI 0 27 25 113 1687 15895 7316 1309
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1787 2973 39 32 9 0 2 0
OW 61 1480 204 240 69 3 12 0
VODI 18 790 193 558 453 99 38 0
ODI 6 292 98 530 757 419 68 0
CDI 0 95 43 270 1618 4570 1497 13
VCDI 0 55 39 150 1693 15914 7378 1301

Date: 2024-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1979 3508 39 61 1 1 1 0
OW 46 1638 293 305 24 5 4 0
VODI 11 315 257 1068 501 52 10 0
ODI 0 69 61 561 1634 490 35 0
CDI 0 8 14 169 1177 7710 1140 0
VCDI 0 0 3 34 1392 14992 6257 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1961 2943 51 79 7 2 7 0
OW 49 1331 195 343 95 20 5 0
VODI 23 823 200 531 406 129 17 0
ODI 3 307 128 589 786 508 71 0
CDI 0 88 54 513 1812 4365 1110 0
VCDI 0 46 39 143 1623 18226 6237 1

Date: 2024-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2211 3756 56 24 0 4 0 0
OW 44 1662 268 283 38 14 0 0
VODI 17 389 288 951 454 63 7 0
ODI 0 70 93 632 1426 514 104 0
CDI 0 16 21 222 1178 6100 893 0
VCDI 0 18 3 26 1450 19306 3264 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2201 3077 67 51 0 12 0 0
OW 45 1300 184 366 117 27 2 0
VODI 26 926 186 479 330 118 11 0
ODI 0 408 151 481 629 331 285 0
CDI 0 140 117 677 1879 5087 715 0
VCDI 0 60 24 84 1591 20426 3255 1

Date: 2024-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2531 3720 75 32 3 1 0 0
OW 47 1594 274 280 36 8 7 0
VODI 12 594 287 782 455 71 15 0
ODI 0 157 168 832 1565 660 159 0
CDI 0 27 35 217 3422 3553 357 0
VCDI 0 17 11 89 1386 20845 1542 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2523 3009 89 74 9 14 9 0
OW 44 1365 179 250 142 39 20 0
VODI 23 956 215 511 314 117 37 0
ODI 0 542 154 469 771 473 186 0
CDI 0 213 202 809 3840 2683 434 0
VCDI 0 24 11 119 1791 21812 1394 0


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