Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-06-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67322 14109 105 91 26 42 0 0
OW 1062 4601 596 715 171 65 3 0
VODI 3363 1914 744 1828 959 309 22 1
ODI 0 530 210 1059 2231 1243 172 6
CDI 0 429 213 933 3563 8271 4181 31
VCDI 0 31 31 141 719 11324 36744 10700
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67604 13963 113 91 64 4 0 0
OW 1038 4637 653 739 219 57 7 0
VODI 3351 2037 633 1782 1097 236 45 0
ODI 0 688 267 1178 2394 1314 174 0
CDI 0 500 220 933 4056 7746 4340 1
VCDI 0 27 31 181 1790 17199 29329 10072
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68266 15513 190 120 74 4 0 0
OW 1035 5087 730 672 184 31 1 0
VODI 3322 1274 706 2427 1157 133 15 0
ODI 0 246 148 1352 3614 1215 102 0
CDI 0 104 71 488 3802 11763 2711 0
VCDI 0 2 12 159 1750 21380 27334 3616
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68457 16260 233 203 56 29 0 0
OW 1111 4401 709 755 208 73 3 0
VODI 3333 1354 696 2060 1337 250 28 0
ODI 3 321 186 1274 3147 1283 111 0
CDI 0 151 112 633 4088 12354 3448 0
VCDI 0 29 28 337 2273 27113 19577 2786
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68468 16866 280 221 70 28 0 0
OW 1097 3747 679 813 221 68 4 0
VODI 3336 1397 684 1957 1319 283 27 0
ODI 3 325 186 1271 3052 1184 97 0
CDI 0 148 103 636 4175 12488 3562 3
VCDI 0 33 32 364 2272 27051 19477 2783

Date: 2024-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68987 16787 185 173 68 27 0 0
OW 1113 4292 692 718 256 94 10 0
VODI 3324 1663 634 1713 1273 293 48 0
ODI 2 468 252 1212 2782 1089 143 0
CDI 0 233 133 884 4654 11376 2948 5
VCDI 0 29 32 218 2795 29142 17348 2715
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68997 17253 233 191 74 28 2 0
OW 1106 3776 655 755 269 90 12 0
VODI 3317 1698 613 1571 1219 296 46 0
ODI 6 476 257 1281 2744 1105 99 0
CDI 0 210 123 862 4708 11372 2877 13
VCDI 0 59 47 258 2814 29130 17461 2707

Date: 2024-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69249 18524 299 292 102 24 1 0
OW 1125 4002 796 776 168 41 4 0
VODI 3260 830 778 2595 1275 132 10 0
ODI 0 106 129 1435 5722 1499 39 0
CDI 0 38 62 521 4297 19370 1909 0
VCDI 0 3 10 110 2631 24481 13913 252
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69218 17218 285 329 97 39 7 0
OW 1096 3627 636 856 352 99 5 0
VODI 3317 1869 597 1504 1312 293 20 0
ODI 3 500 324 1460 2820 1167 87 0
CDI 0 229 170 1246 5721 11799 2568 2
VCDI 0 60 62 334 3893 32150 13189 250

Date: 2024-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69583 18865 343 340 51 36 0 0
OW 1133 4006 703 834 246 57 0 0
VODI 3254 1010 806 2284 1368 182 7 0
ODI 0 139 198 1579 4961 1477 104 0
CDI 0 63 75 617 3717 19992 2779 0
VCDI 0 18 3 86 2372 29602 7896 24
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69560 17313 316 382 54 49 0 0
OW 1106 3581 549 957 401 93 2 0
VODI 3304 2047 594 1305 1385 278 12 0
ODI 0 755 363 1453 2638 1085 299 0
CDI 0 326 275 1460 5483 14845 1908 0
VCDI 0 79 31 183 2754 34996 8565 24

Date: 2024-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70580 18235 297 238 28 20 0 0
OW 1146 3997 714 936 302 52 7 0
VODI 3237 1493 784 2063 1540 225 22 0
ODI 0 298 360 2008 4622 1592 183 0
CDI 0 82 108 650 6220 18392 2742 0
VCDI 0 17 18 159 2791 31163 3489 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70560 16667 379 397 75 26 9 0
OW 1114 3618 475 915 482 76 20 0
VODI 3289 2239 564 1262 1392 362 39 0
ODI 0 1079 430 1595 2625 1312 264 0
CDI 0 485 407 1702 8041 13088 1062 0
VCDI 0 34 26 183 2888 36580 5049 0


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