Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63642 12530 61 103 4 1 0 0
OW 914 2147 280 365 42 13 4 0
VODI 2451 687 441 1138 404 78 9 0
ODI 1102 74 126 815 978 333 33 0
CDI 0 47 29 269 968 1811 751 0
VCDI 0 3 3 26 147 512 4900 4621
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65732 10969 38 22 0 0 0 0
OW 983 1953 246 307 51 4 0 0
VODI 2521 891 383 926 377 78 19 0
ODI 1025 276 230 653 795 308 24 0
CDI 0 95 96 493 785 1813 820 3
VCDI 0 0 0 17 112 582 5096 4139
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65863 11666 53 29 0 0 0 0
OW 938 2452 405 352 21 1 1 0
VODI 2969 438 387 1324 521 56 8 0
ODI 550 34 41 415 900 283 20 3
CDI 0 5 14 119 626 1991 1024 6
VCDI 0 0 0 8 58 315 6635 2331
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65798 11554 68 36 4 3 0 0
OW 1045 2625 374 352 56 17 0 0
VODI 3366 611 403 1062 496 30 1 0
ODI 0 58 45 451 985 199 13 0
CDI 0 6 21 192 857 2338 1450 15
VCDI 0 0 0 3 85 855 6215 1173
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65810 11600 70 40 3 2 0 0
OW 1033 2615 393 389 65 18 0 0
VODI 3366 569 378 1012 499 28 1 0
ODI 0 63 51 440 916 186 15 1
CDI 0 7 19 205 913 2344 1471 10
VCDI 0 0 0 10 87 864 6192 1177

Date: 2024-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65380 12184 85 92 12 7 0 0
OW 998 2684 330 394 70 7 0 0
VODI 3360 724 328 960 458 42 4 0
ODI 0 92 67 421 892 280 24 0
CDI 0 10 17 193 976 2455 1420 1
VCDI 0 0 0 12 57 1029 5847 950
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65375 12247 101 107 15 7 0 0
OW 1003 2677 310 418 75 8 0 0
VODI 3360 649 331 914 487 40 3 0
ODI 0 107 62 402 793 242 30 0
CDI 0 14 23 214 1032 2498 1337 112
VCDI 0 0 0 17 63 1025 5925 839

Date: 2024-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66362 12504 93 46 10 1 0 0
OW 1020 2469 416 419 36 4 0 0
VODI 3329 197 273 1249 548 34 0 0
ODI 0 14 14 269 1031 197 6 0
CDI 0 1 2 42 750 2295 401 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 10 728 6957 1134
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66347 11622 78 55 5 0 0 0
OW 1017 2657 331 385 75 8 0 0
VODI 3347 671 264 945 558 35 0 0
ODI 0 170 86 420 616 248 29 0
CDI 0 65 39 212 1039 2027 1256 12
VCDI 0 0 0 9 92 941 6079 1122

Date: 2024-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66676 12728 115 72 12 1 0 0
OW 1031 2160 410 413 67 12 0 0
VODI 3316 241 261 1084 469 51 0 0
ODI 0 18 22 286 728 191 4 0
CDI 0 10 16 95 890 2473 891 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 60 1251 6618 180
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66663 11687 94 67 9 0 0 0
OW 1021 2495 314 364 100 18 0 0
VODI 3339 713 286 831 448 75 1 0
ODI 0 215 90 405 494 202 54 0
CDI 0 47 40 268 1054 2611 1233 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 121 1073 6225 180

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66940 13257 136 95 18 0 0 0
OW 1043 1893 372 428 95 13 0 0
VODI 3305 318 211 763 433 56 0 0
ODI 0 36 41 266 565 205 4 0
CDI 0 43 33 159 978 2414 1008 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 183 1639 5437 473
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66913 12032 149 88 7 0 0 0
OW 1047 2262 264 344 112 10 0 0
VODI 3328 820 211 601 471 103 1 0
ODI 0 343 101 358 398 231 43 0
CDI 0 90 63 295 1029 2767 1768 0
VCDI 0 0 5 27 255 1216 4637 473


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