Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 3 15 17 0 0 0
OW 0 153 47 56 57 19 1 0
VODI 0 286 98 231 174 29 11 0
ODI 0 133 62 246 492 207 43 0
CDI 0 203 91 300 1801 2180 386 0
VCDI 0 157 63 176 410 2215 16891 4714
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 176 18 26 29 18 0 0
OW 0 222 46 40 41 38 0 0
VODI 0 300 104 198 157 69 6 0
ODI 0 145 71 266 443 246 39 0
CDI 0 291 115 337 1671 2163 703 0
VCDI 0 119 49 180 471 2162 15313 5810
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 222 13 21 12 31 0 0
OW 0 490 80 66 46 27 0 0
VODI 0 430 171 303 200 68 3 0
ODI 0 130 63 298 904 490 20 0
CDI 0 87 78 271 1244 2608 834 0
VCDI 0 1 6 32 170 1779 11161 9723
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 203 14 24 23 15 0 0
OW 0 494 62 73 29 32 0 0
VODI 0 443 184 348 189 107 1 0
ODI 0 133 66 359 857 578 43 0
CDI 0 107 51 307 1375 3187 1134 0
VCDI 0 2 8 41 351 3469 13259 4514
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 213 19 30 25 10 0 0
OW 0 496 59 67 27 34 0 0
VODI 0 432 183 366 184 107 2 0
ODI 0 135 70 359 901 598 56 0
CDI 0 101 46 282 1318 3156 1138 0
VCDI 0 5 8 48 369 3483 13241 4514

Date: 2024-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 205 13 25 21 28 0 0
OW 0 451 81 70 31 50 0 0
VODI 0 521 189 323 228 121 3 0
ODI 0 209 107 434 812 681 35 0
CDI 0 99 71 394 1589 3326 1319 2
VCDI 0 0 0 25 394 3931 9577 6717
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 219 23 38 28 28 0 0
OW 0 474 71 51 31 44 0 0
VODI 0 484 193 333 226 118 3 0
ODI 0 216 108 449 887 717 32 0
CDI 0 92 66 375 1496 3219 1249 7
VCDI 0 0 0 25 407 4011 9650 6712

Date: 2024-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 294 17 25 53 0 0 0
OW 0 772 109 78 69 11 0 0
VODI 0 403 255 574 292 36 0 0
ODI 0 51 44 509 1862 647 7 0
CDI 0 9 23 157 1352 4444 840 0
VCDI 0 0 0 60 617 7483 9488 1501
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 271 24 45 67 0 0 0
OW 0 397 98 51 86 13 0 0
VODI 0 496 174 387 307 90 1 0
ODI 0 278 82 482 1184 607 31 0
CDI 0 86 69 357 1679 3336 1611 0
VCDI 0 1 1 81 922 8575 8692 1501

Date: 2024-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 361 36 43 52 22 0 0
OW 0 777 145 103 57 36 0 0
VODI 0 364 219 571 323 148 2 0
ODI 0 58 45 512 1465 1069 29 0
CDI 0 9 44 211 1374 4434 667 0
VCDI 0 2 14 108 1165 10051 5199 2367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 357 43 58 56 46 0 0
OW 0 350 111 87 57 58 0 0
VODI 0 460 183 382 278 242 7 0
ODI 0 260 77 486 920 904 36 0
CDI 0 135 63 384 1790 3200 1120 0
VCDI 0 9 26 151 1335 11310 4734 2367

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 469 48 58 40 31 0 0
OW 0 829 113 80 66 58 2 0
VODI 0 482 240 474 347 134 12 0
ODI 0 126 84 488 1617 509 44 0
CDI 0 42 55 295 2202 4582 521 0
VCDI 0 3 8 102 619 10244 5131 1927
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 470 57 60 66 25 0 0
OW 0 447 86 59 73 51 2 0
VODI 0 497 171 328 446 141 20 0
ODI 0 326 127 449 1089 656 87 0
CDI 0 180 81 438 2298 2034 910 0
VCDI 0 31 26 163 919 12651 4691 1927


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