Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 548 1938 57 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1430 98 117 33 1 0 0
VODI 0 740 166 428 303 58 4 0
ODI 0 295 85 323 440 172 52 0
CDI 0 305 81 331 1475 1485 842 0
VCDI 0 209 78 276 966 5694 20545 6261
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1179 1780 31 16 1 0 0 0
OW 3 1408 85 166 65 4 0 0
VODI 0 687 134 383 212 58 39 0
ODI 0 347 85 311 318 139 93 0
CDI 0 424 87 287 1477 1828 1466 8
VCDI 0 185 70 256 579 4365 23110 4180
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1147 2373 46 24 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1667 169 234 27 7 0 0
VODI 0 494 198 581 309 40 11 0
ODI 0 209 55 268 706 244 65 0
CDI 0 209 101 322 1187 3273 1110 0
VCDI 0 2 10 71 175 5867 21415 3246
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1381 2278 30 19 2 0 0 0
OW 16 1603 166 255 52 14 1 0
VODI 2 721 197 580 246 86 16 0
ODI 0 279 58 266 587 313 106 0
CDI 0 327 119 374 1556 2516 1280 1
VCDI 0 7 10 65 555 5126 20331 4325
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1366 2299 42 33 10 0 0 0
OW 32 1594 156 258 49 16 1 0
VODI 1 716 193 569 244 77 14 0
ODI 0 273 65 243 555 329 106 0
CDI 0 329 109 378 1538 2515 1225 0
VCDI 0 4 15 78 602 5118 20388 4326

Date: 2024-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1471 2205 39 28 4 0 0 0
OW 4 1526 201 291 77 30 1 0
VODI 1 754 148 466 313 146 37 0
ODI 0 357 89 213 554 291 137 0
CDI 0 370 116 367 1139 2369 1075 19
VCDI 0 39 40 105 678 10736 16782 2648
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1472 2261 45 49 10 0 0 0
OW 3 1520 183 275 93 34 0 0
VODI 1 706 160 462 297 137 31 0
ODI 0 338 89 213 517 293 138 1
CDI 0 383 107 345 1189 2392 1152 14
VCDI 0 43 49 126 659 10716 16711 2652

Date: 2024-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1158 3044 128 59 4 1 0 0
OW 61 1804 249 231 40 6 1 0
VODI 17 503 200 693 322 16 19 0
ODI 2 185 91 459 1024 448 51 0
CDI 0 50 45 265 1202 5628 816 0
VCDI 0 0 3 42 887 10294 11915 3903
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1152 2544 97 48 4 0 0 0
OW 23 1511 234 339 111 15 14 0
VODI 42 667 135 386 316 112 67 0
ODI 21 349 88 275 461 260 96 0
CDI 0 490 133 523 1295 2742 1837 29
VCDI 0 25 29 178 1292 13264 10788 3874

Date: 2024-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1661 2749 59 39 5 0 0 0
OW 2 1901 186 173 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 710 217 651 368 61 14 0
ODI 0 168 86 411 979 420 99 0
CDI 0 96 45 240 1532 5253 1387 0
VCDI 0 4 10 50 1166 14902 9146 1034
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1660 2147 48 46 12 0 0 0
OW 1 1636 208 254 94 24 0 0
VODI 2 813 107 350 337 104 13 0
ODI 0 495 90 253 421 246 131 0
CDI 0 502 109 506 1968 3188 1740 0
VCDI 0 35 41 155 1260 17074 8762 1034

Date: 2024-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1703 2914 44 32 7 0 0 0
OW 63 1587 234 239 67 4 3 0
VODI 21 695 190 627 445 159 25 0
ODI 5 234 95 497 810 354 114 0
CDI 0 101 44 232 1767 4986 1349 0
VCDI 0 31 23 224 1623 15658 7925 735
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1683 2283 37 33 17 0 0 0
OW 56 1366 202 295 133 52 0 0
VODI 46 797 120 348 298 140 19 0
ODI 7 524 102 309 414 273 149 0
CDI 0 536 120 568 2147 3741 1582 76
VCDI 0 56 49 298 1710 16955 7666 659


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