Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62276 12417 75 61 17 1 0 0
OW 833 1740 250 254 96 9 0 0
VODI 2184 585 372 1137 536 94 14 0
ODI 1418 138 100 647 1259 585 112 0
CDI 0 37 60 367 1428 3811 1051 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 234 1999 5501 1163
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62750 11562 63 80 21 1 0 0
OW 837 2114 268 337 123 19 0 0
VODI 2221 698 386 1064 550 113 9 0
ODI 1375 215 133 685 1357 663 84 0
CDI 0 71 82 433 1519 3129 1113 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 212 1702 6608 258
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63273 12198 48 39 4 0 0 0
OW 852 2174 365 387 43 4 0 0
VODI 2371 398 429 1466 566 56 6 0
ODI 1205 16 40 600 1849 572 36 0
CDI 0 13 13 71 978 2746 452 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 86 900 7545 1054
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63351 12579 47 63 5 1 0 0
OW 870 2169 305 382 65 11 3 0
VODI 2422 579 458 1303 454 73 11 0
ODI 1137 56 91 758 1231 381 27 0
CDI 0 39 20 156 1070 2135 595 0
VCDI 0 0 3 22 115 792 6086 2997
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63351 12621 52 71 8 1 0 0
OW 870 2101 323 398 66 14 2 0
VODI 2422 602 424 1282 455 77 15 0
ODI 1137 55 99 775 1298 338 28 0
CDI 0 43 25 138 1011 2123 576 0
VCDI 0 0 1 20 102 840 6101 2997

Date: 2024-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64304 12149 79 42 1 0 0 0
OW 879 2141 266 306 43 10 2 0
VODI 2485 802 404 1005 362 86 11 0
ODI 1062 176 178 772 847 300 34 0
CDI 0 63 60 474 872 1825 692 0
VCDI 0 1 4 22 143 876 5879 3205
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64304 12271 92 41 4 0 0 0
OW 879 1989 273 330 36 11 1 0
VODI 2485 820 391 1014 366 90 12 0
ODI 1062 191 179 880 861 289 37 0
CDI 0 61 56 333 834 1781 675 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 167 926 5893 3205

Date: 2024-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66137 11405 46 28 0 0 0 0
OW 952 2318 457 354 15 0 0 0
VODI 2870 381 379 1504 529 34 9 0
ODI 654 31 41 332 961 370 20 2
CDI 0 8 14 79 535 2052 645 4
VCDI 0 0 0 8 57 448 7566 1617
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66064 10885 55 28 6 0 0 0
OW 1005 1735 212 359 67 3 4 0
VODI 2564 985 349 796 364 91 15 0
ODI 980 462 261 844 744 299 34 1
CDI 0 76 60 268 790 1773 998 3
VCDI 0 0 0 10 126 738 7189 1619

Date: 2024-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65881 11508 53 26 1 0 0 0
OW 951 2536 439 347 53 4 0 0
VODI 3135 463 400 1228 512 45 0 0
ODI 381 41 38 424 954 247 24 1
CDI 0 7 17 144 635 2005 1421 9
VCDI 0 0 1 5 85 372 5954 2515
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65837 11158 85 44 3 0 0 0
OW 975 1660 244 384 103 13 0 0
VODI 2650 1079 285 691 453 80 13 0
ODI 886 594 282 762 810 256 49 3
CDI 0 64 51 287 767 1745 1300 18
VCDI 0 0 1 6 104 579 6037 2504

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65818 11705 60 55 11 11 0 0
OW 1045 2619 337 383 66 8 0 0
VODI 3363 632 366 979 504 59 3 0
ODI 0 65 55 413 952 242 30 0
CDI 0 3 13 176 933 2166 1756 6
VCDI 0 0 0 4 64 557 5924 1479
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65720 11038 63 65 15 0 0 0
OW 977 1832 255 347 85 31 3 0
VODI 2768 1273 228 588 438 86 14 0
ODI 761 854 244 694 867 235 66 1
CDI 0 27 41 306 1045 2085 1582 41
VCDI 0 0 0 10 80 606 6048 1443


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