Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 122 3 3 0 2 2 0
OW 0 55 3 12 21 15 4 0
VODI 0 54 32 88 53 17 18 0
ODI 0 54 54 218 301 36 4 0
CDI 0 85 69 320 1135 2310 242 0
VCDI 0 81 41 165 505 3471 16251 6236
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 111 4 0 2 0 0 0
OW 0 44 10 17 23 12 2 0
VODI 0 90 36 79 65 16 14 0
ODI 0 75 75 233 228 31 6 0
CDI 0 114 100 396 1374 2347 403 0
VCDI 0 88 49 162 447 3421 17482 4526
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 0 4 2 0 0 0
OW 0 80 32 47 42 12 3 0
VODI 0 206 106 266 138 15 14 0
ODI 0 68 60 246 551 180 9 0
CDI 0 78 60 277 1192 2778 619 0
VCDI 0 88 43 165 309 1278 15421 7578
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 98 2 6 10 0 0 0
OW 0 113 42 57 51 11 2 0
VODI 0 234 109 258 145 39 16 0
ODI 0 93 65 248 464 241 42 0
CDI 0 151 59 280 1460 2534 645 0
VCDI 0 120 58 167 389 1348 16933 5592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 1 4 16 0 0 0
OW 0 124 51 71 50 13 2 0
VODI 0 216 108 251 147 44 20 0
ODI 0 81 59 239 438 222 39 0
CDI 0 167 61 288 1481 2437 586 0
VCDI 0 109 55 163 387 1457 16991 5592

Date: 2024-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 140 4 24 25 8 0 0
OW 0 199 46 48 55 29 0 0
VODI 0 298 90 223 149 57 13 0
ODI 0 140 68 262 422 255 54 0
CDI 0 237 107 300 1654 2179 699 0
VCDI 0 142 67 186 388 1789 16887 4838
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 159 12 30 39 13 0 0
OW 0 198 46 51 53 20 0 0
VODI 0 305 90 205 143 59 14 0
ODI 0 118 62 273 412 232 53 0
CDI 0 222 105 292 1647 1999 614 0
VCDI 0 154 67 192 399 1994 16972 4838

Date: 2024-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 220 14 26 13 29 0 0
OW 0 478 69 57 31 25 0 0
VODI 0 414 169 323 193 49 2 0
ODI 0 137 71 314 956 397 23 0
CDI 0 68 69 236 1225 2594 674 0
VCDI 0 1 1 41 131 1380 16664 4988
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 197 12 24 16 56 0 0
OW 0 236 44 54 42 28 0 0
VODI 0 325 98 186 194 59 9 0
ODI 0 128 63 214 420 285 43 0
CDI 0 368 133 360 1501 2134 593 4
VCDI 0 64 43 159 376 1912 16718 4984

Date: 2024-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 216 14 23 10 16 9 0
OW 0 550 48 68 39 20 9 0
VODI 0 456 180 324 189 65 18 0
ODI 0 141 56 300 814 597 44 0
CDI 0 97 64 298 1232 2913 881 0
VCDI 0 4 8 37 193 2624 12476 7049
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 194 12 16 10 32 23 0
OW 0 280 24 46 43 38 10 0
VODI 0 324 106 221 199 99 22 0
ODI 0 188 57 218 410 311 52 0
CDI 0 451 143 446 1501 2868 623 0
VCDI 0 27 28 103 314 2887 12707 7049

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 198 13 18 12 31 0 0
OW 0 436 82 76 39 35 0 0
VODI 0 478 200 322 198 116 3 0
ODI 0 170 87 379 780 667 16 0
CDI 0 105 64 352 1474 3562 1211 4
VCDI 0 0 1 31 181 3557 10855 6329
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 199 14 11 18 53 0 0
OW 0 264 60 80 52 53 0 0
VODI 0 284 157 280 260 165 2 0
ODI 0 163 74 291 434 470 42 0
CDI 0 391 91 392 1471 3377 1000 3
VCDI 0 86 51 124 449 3850 11041 6330


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