Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-06-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 42 1240 14 8 3 0 0 0
OW 0 722 95 92 12 6 3 0
VODI 0 579 170 468 148 18 14 0
ODI 0 245 72 302 455 120 44 0
CDI 0 350 119 374 865 1623 845 1
VCDI 0 184 64 271 569 3780 26596 5353
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57 1133 11 7 2 1 0 0
OW 0 778 118 146 22 4 2 0
VODI 0 725 162 335 175 33 7 0
ODI 0 345 93 288 390 135 35 0
CDI 0 543 124 359 1007 1789 1172 2
VCDI 0 68 50 203 499 2978 22961 9107
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 263 1353 21 33 7 0 0 0
OW 0 1490 164 138 27 7 0 0
VODI 2 828 192 508 144 37 1 0
ODI 0 180 68 367 694 162 24 0
CDI 0 132 75 298 1098 2020 1047 0
VCDI 0 64 51 195 511 5556 23104 5005
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 364 1789 74 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1407 112 107 46 0 0 0
VODI 2 792 171 366 354 37 6 0
ODI 0 223 71 340 571 170 24 0
CDI 0 213 83 318 1499 1515 926 2
VCDI 0 109 56 226 598 5814 24270 3155
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 364 1826 68 52 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1359 119 108 47 1 0 0
VODI 2 806 165 382 348 48 6 0
ODI 0 215 73 298 544 168 31 0
CDI 0 216 84 352 1542 1477 1049 29
VCDI 0 111 58 221 587 5842 24140 3128

Date: 2024-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 744 2014 58 27 1 0 0 0
OW 4 1390 98 146 40 3 0 0
VODI 0 714 155 435 248 65 2 0
ODI 0 317 84 330 359 167 56 0
CDI 0 364 74 392 1462 1603 1067 0
VCDI 0 190 85 255 1146 5304 22446 4021
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 746 2004 64 27 2 0 0 0
OW 2 1396 85 176 51 1 0 0
VODI 0 703 155 407 239 73 10 0
ODI 0 318 84 300 338 152 53 0
CDI 0 371 81 414 1494 1743 1087 0
VCDI 0 197 85 261 1132 5173 22421 4021

Date: 2024-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1169 2366 40 26 4 1 0 0
OW 0 1727 168 179 27 2 2 0
VODI 0 428 195 587 275 18 3 0
ODI 0 218 57 289 751 173 53 0
CDI 0 176 77 273 1163 3319 978 0
VCDI 0 1 9 82 190 4124 23827 2889
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1169 1949 36 24 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1330 88 168 62 8 3 0
VODI 0 698 158 376 193 53 68 0
ODI 0 359 107 301 266 113 128 0
CDI 0 444 99 318 1221 2099 1622 0
VCDI 0 136 58 249 664 5364 23042 2889

Date: 2024-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1150 2399 47 21 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1589 204 249 34 11 0 0
VODI 1 618 189 643 244 57 11 0
ODI 0 239 55 296 662 247 84 0
CDI 0 265 107 403 1293 3055 1220 0
VCDI 0 2 7 47 310 5819 20544 3743
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1147 1910 41 31 6 10 0 0
OW 3 1320 140 239 52 13 3 0
VODI 1 811 156 408 193 84 31 0
ODI 0 477 101 328 258 149 112 0
CDI 0 569 137 475 1297 2146 1742 6
VCDI 0 25 34 178 738 6787 19971 3737

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1504 2206 32 18 3 0 0 0
OW 17 1546 177 256 66 22 3 0
VODI 0 804 178 527 257 134 16 1
ODI 0 295 68 267 499 334 126 6
CDI 0 321 136 405 1156 2543 1214 21
VCDI 0 31 30 106 474 7210 19965 2892
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1484 1724 22 18 13 12 0 0
OW 37 1225 111 235 85 50 6 0
VODI 0 1015 164 300 135 114 56 0
ODI 0 507 94 286 246 184 83 1
CDI 0 679 173 573 1158 2130 1643 16
VCDI 0 53 57 167 818 7753 19536 2903


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