Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-06-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62318 13779 92 72 20 3 2 0
OW 833 2517 348 358 129 30 7 0
VODI 2184 1218 574 1693 737 129 46 0
ODI 1418 437 226 1167 2015 741 160 0
CDI 0 472 248 1061 3428 7744 2138 1
VCDI 0 265 105 437 1308 9250 48348 12752
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62807 12806 78 87 25 2 0 0
OW 837 2936 396 500 168 35 4 0
VODI 2221 1513 584 1478 790 162 30 0
ODI 1375 635 301 1206 1975 829 125 0
CDI 0 728 306 1188 3900 7265 2688 2
VCDI 0 156 99 372 1158 8101 47051 13891
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63536 13666 69 76 13 0 0 0
OW 852 3744 561 572 112 23 3 0
VODI 2373 1432 727 2240 848 108 21 0
ODI 1205 264 168 1213 3094 914 69 0
CDI 0 223 148 646 3268 7544 2118 0
VCDI 0 152 94 367 906 7734 46070 13637
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63715 14466 123 125 15 1 0 0
OW 870 3689 459 546 162 22 5 0
VODI 2424 1605 738 1927 953 149 33 0
ODI 1137 372 227 1346 2266 792 93 0
CDI 0 403 162 754 4029 6184 2166 2
VCDI 0 229 117 415 1102 7954 47289 11744
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63715 14559 121 127 24 1 0 0
OW 870 3584 493 577 163 28 4 0
VODI 2424 1624 697 1915 950 169 41 0
ODI 1137 351 231 1312 2280 728 98 0
CDI 0 426 170 778 4034 6037 2211 29
VCDI 0 220 114 404 1076 8139 47232 11717

Date: 2024-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65048 14303 141 93 27 8 0 0
OW 883 3730 410 500 138 42 2 0
VODI 2485 1814 649 1663 759 208 26 0
ODI 1062 633 330 1364 1628 722 144 0
CDI 0 664 241 1166 3988 5607 2458 0
VCDI 0 333 156 463 1677 7969 45212 12064
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65050 14434 168 98 45 13 0 0
OW 881 3583 404 557 140 32 1 0
VODI 2485 1828 636 1626 748 222 36 0
ODI 1062 627 325 1453 1611 673 143 0
CDI 0 654 242 1039 3975 5523 2376 0
VCDI 0 351 152 476 1698 8093 45286 12064

Date: 2024-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67306 13991 100 80 17 30 0 0
OW 952 4523 694 590 73 27 2 0
VODI 2870 1223 743 2414 997 101 14 0
ODI 654 386 169 935 2668 940 96 2
CDI 0 252 160 588 2923 7965 2297 4
VCDI 0 2 10 131 378 5952 48057 9494
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67233 13031 103 76 26 56 0 0
OW 1005 3301 344 581 171 39 7 0
VODI 2564 2008 605 1358 751 203 92 0
ODI 980 949 431 1359 1430 697 205 1
CDI 0 888 292 946 3512 6006 3213 7
VCDI 0 200 101 418 1166 8014 46949 9492

Date: 2024-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67031 14123 114 70 12 16 9 0
OW 951 4675 691 664 126 35 9 0
VODI 3136 1537 769 2195 945 167 29 0
ODI 381 421 149 1020 2430 1091 152 1
CDI 0 369 188 845 3160 7973 3522 9
VCDI 0 6 16 89 588 8815 38974 13307
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66984 13262 138 91 19 42 23 0
OW 978 3260 408 669 198 64 13 0
VODI 2651 2214 547 1320 845 263 66 0
ODI 886 1259 440 1308 1478 716 213 3
CDI 0 1084 331 1208 3565 6759 3665 24
VCDI 0 52 63 287 1156 10253 38715 13290

Date: 2024-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67322 14109 105 91 26 42 0 0
OW 1062 4601 596 715 171 65 3 0
VODI 3363 1914 744 1828 959 309 22 1
ODI 0 530 210 1059 2231 1243 172 6
CDI 0 429 213 933 3563 8271 4181 31
VCDI 0 31 31 141 719 11324 36744 10700
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67204 12961 99 94 46 65 0 0
OW 1014 3321 426 662 222 134 9 0
VODI 2768 2572 549 1168 833 365 72 0
ODI 761 1524 412 1271 1547 889 191 2
CDI 0 1097 305 1271 3674 7592 4225 60
VCDI 0 139 108 301 1347 12209 36625 10676


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