Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 81 12 18 8 5 2 0
VODI 0 19 32 103 45 8 7 1
ODI 0 9 32 123 147 34 29 10
CDI 0 4 7 103 516 1312 536 41
VCDI 0 5 13 115 517 2310 16832 9039
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 112 8 8 2 1 1 0
VODI 0 28 39 79 29 7 24 0
ODI 0 16 28 115 124 49 60 0
CDI 0 37 42 187 591 1533 1330 0
VCDI 0 12 27 144 507 3591 18545 4779
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 98 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 88 10 7 7 3 4 0
VODI 0 47 31 91 32 18 10 0
ODI 0 38 39 166 297 86 21 0
CDI 0 52 40 155 660 1995 390 0
VCDI 0 14 31 119 387 3839 19443 3863
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 122 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 7 12 8 8 8 0
VODI 0 52 43 71 42 19 21 0
ODI 0 55 49 213 263 63 18 0
CDI 0 71 72 258 1043 2424 256 0
VCDI 0 51 50 147 451 3254 19227 3640
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 126 4 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 71 9 16 9 9 13 0
VODI 0 47 44 74 41 18 18 0
ODI 0 46 43 199 244 72 16 0
CDI 0 69 73 255 1083 2373 287 0
VCDI 0 53 50 156 430 3296 19196 3640

Date: 2024-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 122 3 2 4 0 0 0
OW 0 48 5 13 23 6 1 0
VODI 0 63 31 88 58 19 14 0
ODI 0 76 56 239 261 30 3 0
CDI 0 100 111 424 1313 2424 408 0
VCDI 0 72 51 175 514 3609 15315 6401
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 131 4 4 5 1 0 0
OW 0 49 8 12 24 10 2 0
VODI 0 63 33 90 56 14 13 0
ODI 0 74 46 233 239 29 4 0
CDI 0 92 117 439 1309 2383 448 0
VCDI 0 72 49 163 540 3651 15274 6401

Date: 2024-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 119 3 2 4 0 0 0
OW 0 69 28 30 20 11 2 0
VODI 0 180 103 236 133 30 14 0
ODI 0 63 59 302 590 158 3 0
CDI 0 71 60 233 1149 2988 502 0
VCDI 0 68 39 123 245 1736 17782 4927
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 116 5 0 5 1 0 0
OW 0 40 21 27 26 19 3 0
VODI 0 103 46 70 60 22 14 0
ODI 0 109 66 223 205 38 5 0
CDI 0 117 110 449 1357 2143 626 0
VCDI 0 85 44 157 488 2700 17655 4927

Date: 2024-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 0 2 10 0 0 0
OW 0 92 37 54 49 10 2 0
VODI 0 230 105 243 152 35 13 0
ODI 0 83 56 240 488 217 46 0
CDI 0 87 57 238 1310 2556 674 0
VCDI 0 125 56 173 389 1288 16142 6718
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 1 4 11 3 1 0
OW 0 45 23 43 39 11 4 0
VODI 0 133 52 77 75 18 12 0
ODI 0 158 74 197 191 29 38 0
CDI 0 141 101 421 1305 2030 996 0
VCDI 0 144 60 208 777 2015 15826 6718

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 3 15 17 0 0 0
OW 0 153 47 56 57 19 1 0
VODI 0 286 98 231 174 29 11 0
ODI 0 133 62 246 492 207 43 0
CDI 0 203 91 300 1801 2180 386 0
VCDI 0 157 63 176 410 2215 16891 4714
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 82 8 15 18 3 0 0
OW 0 71 16 30 31 9 16 0
VODI 0 158 48 109 95 29 32 0
ODI 0 269 80 180 219 81 45 0
CDI 0 266 136 428 1607 1983 1094 4
VCDI 0 201 76 262 981 2545 16145 4710


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