Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-05-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62507 13160 81 42 9 5 0 0
OW 806 2425 337 350 70 21 4 0
VODI 2037 797 457 1018 446 112 59 1
ODI 1600 276 185 808 1145 448 97 10
CDI 0 327 202 966 2530 6142 2875 44
VCDI 0 168 92 381 1164 5999 46177 24430
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62854 12728 41 46 31 2 0 0
OW 811 2480 279 291 80 21 10 0
VODI 2066 942 412 966 453 127 93 0
ODI 1566 367 204 1065 1155 435 148 0
CDI 0 479 254 1045 2956 6907 3179 0
VCDI 0 188 101 435 1289 8064 50363 15877
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62556 13936 56 59 32 1 0 0
OW 830 2393 326 262 61 24 11 0
VODI 2136 877 586 1838 671 119 53 0
ODI 1471 273 180 1033 1770 665 129 0
CDI 0 316 149 802 2839 7363 2478 2
VCDI 0 46 70 265 837 8709 49126 15460
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62390 13873 87 83 19 2 0 0
OW 832 2451 355 358 118 23 11 0
VODI 2165 1095 593 1666 704 117 46 0
ODI 1439 378 217 1181 1789 695 139 0
CDI 0 397 234 976 3510 7931 2334 0
VCDI 0 78 94 303 1000 8501 46606 16020
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62390 13880 95 87 20 1 0 0
OW 832 2386 354 379 128 21 18 0
VODI 2166 1167 588 1654 704 131 39 0
ODI 1438 350 209 1141 1811 706 154 0
CDI 0 418 248 1021 3567 7924 2340 0
VCDI 0 71 86 285 910 8486 46585 16020

Date: 2024-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62437 13419 60 74 36 1 0 0
OW 833 2644 372 412 139 24 3 0
VODI 2205 1340 591 1626 757 189 28 0
ODI 1396 579 250 1197 2070 845 131 0
CDI 0 617 288 1166 3685 7434 2415 1
VCDI 0 135 87 361 1194 9411 45906 14452
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62437 13473 71 66 40 1 0 0
OW 833 2587 373 507 165 35 5 0
VODI 2207 1348 573 1567 744 193 33 0
ODI 1394 567 243 1146 2005 846 141 0
CDI 0 626 307 1205 3840 7467 2633 0
VCDI 0 133 81 345 1087 9362 45671 14453

Date: 2024-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63328 13518 75 69 17 1 0 0
OW 853 3674 607 540 109 12 2 0
VODI 2341 1197 693 2174 1075 109 17 0
ODI 1236 230 168 1075 3652 1110 48 0
CDI 0 168 141 539 2714 8580 1772 0
VCDI 0 81 47 229 633 4722 48813 14441
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63324 12587 78 80 21 4 0 0
OW 842 3090 448 597 232 36 3 0
VODI 2245 1543 487 1272 845 144 33 0
ODI 1347 710 286 1079 1922 847 174 0
CDI 0 763 323 1209 4154 7094 3524 0
VCDI 0 175 109 389 1026 6409 46918 14441

Date: 2024-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63932 13714 127 90 17 0 0 0
OW 857 3717 484 547 146 23 2 0
VODI 2396 1489 767 2016 1017 123 33 0
ODI 1177 299 153 1257 2708 841 84 0
CDI 0 258 143 614 3702 7005 1982 0
VCDI 0 708 115 433 937 7931 47573 11393
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63928 12405 85 60 36 3 1 0
OW 849 3380 457 688 234 26 6 0
VODI 2294 1786 460 1153 807 152 44 0
ODI 1291 845 319 1130 1634 639 143 0
CDI 0 856 308 1370 4268 6397 4576 50
VCDI 0 913 160 556 1548 8706 44904 11343

Date: 2024-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64190 14583 121 148 21 1 0 0
OW 914 3730 425 538 132 33 5 0
VODI 2451 1713 705 1797 881 165 24 0
ODI 1102 502 273 1384 1910 712 128 0
CDI 0 555 201 900 4244 5476 1979 0
VCDI 0 369 144 478 1523 8421 42336 15596
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64121 12789 124 156 31 9 4 0
OW 959 3380 361 628 163 40 23 0
VODI 2343 2047 404 1112 778 192 87 0
ODI 1234 1165 355 1061 1107 528 311 2
CDI 0 1189 437 1720 4503 5178 4365 150
VCDI 0 882 188 568 2129 8861 39682 15444


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