Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61845 11892 60 38 2 0 0 0
OW 795 2005 242 165 51 20 1 0
VODI 1917 654 336 921 322 68 36 0
ODI 1746 148 99 423 703 315 96 0
CDI 0 39 59 361 1353 2907 1461 14
VCDI 0 11 9 57 136 1495 8214 1846
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61868 11957 49 31 4 0 0 0
OW 791 1956 202 251 54 29 7 0
VODI 1940 674 323 710 356 91 68 0
ODI 1722 181 86 396 668 313 85 0
CDI 0 60 97 456 1470 3640 1369 25
VCDI 0 16 14 58 166 1187 6610 2882
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61997 12613 65 17 0 0 0 0
OW 805 1929 251 237 19 5 1 0
VODI 2003 367 346 931 371 66 28 0
ODI 1641 16 55 434 895 376 85 0
CDI 0 10 13 227 1195 3956 1260 0
VCDI 0 0 7 38 89 955 5486 4073
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62089 12613 59 32 1 0 0 0
OW 805 1801 278 265 38 8 1 0
VODI 2026 407 311 765 325 95 48 0
ODI 1614 54 54 495 830 337 60 0
CDI 0 22 35 279 1371 3824 1496 0
VCDI 0 8 11 57 233 1475 4513 4127
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62087 12726 72 45 2 0 0 0
OW 806 1663 258 248 42 8 2 0
VODI 2013 418 313 713 298 87 31 0
ODI 1628 62 54 499 788 310 81 0
CDI 0 29 46 352 1439 3978 1576 0
VCDI 0 7 5 36 229 1356 4428 4127

Date: 2024-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62417 12234 60 34 3 4 0 0
OW 809 1753 262 296 69 8 2 0
VODI 2051 443 285 717 367 97 42 0
ODI 1583 81 78 599 805 336 41 0
CDI 0 71 53 348 1438 4326 1014 0
VCDI 0 9 12 49 254 1375 4099 4338
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62408 12378 75 61 5 4 0 0
OW 815 1582 244 261 68 6 1 0
VODI 2038 450 273 676 370 87 34 0
ODI 1599 91 89 556 753 285 45 0
CDI 0 83 59 447 1516 4370 1064 0
VCDI 0 7 10 42 224 1394 4054 4338

Date: 2024-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62582 12637 51 47 15 2 0 0
OW 824 1497 251 157 44 11 1 0
VODI 2119 318 362 1223 424 89 30 0
ODI 1494 31 47 580 1067 437 51 0
CDI 0 13 23 247 1250 4403 1284 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 167 919 5977 2181
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62576 12042 42 46 15 2 0 0
OW 811 1659 209 180 59 20 3 0
VODI 2066 544 272 786 355 106 48 0
ODI 1566 144 111 661 711 308 57 0
CDI 0 103 100 556 1551 3817 1608 0
VCDI 0 4 0 32 276 1608 5627 2181

Date: 2024-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62394 12577 49 45 8 1 0 0
OW 829 1594 253 215 71 15 0 0
VODI 2154 468 365 1183 472 80 16 0
ODI 1453 85 81 598 1118 535 69 0
CDI 0 26 49 290 1428 3879 1506 0
VCDI 0 2 1 17 159 1178 4257 3342
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62390 12220 66 42 4 2 0 0
OW 818 1518 221 301 91 17 3 0
VODI 2090 576 253 791 420 110 30 0
ODI 1532 212 132 619 769 356 103 0
CDI 0 217 123 555 1656 3645 1643 0
VCDI 0 9 3 40 316 1558 4069 3342

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62276 12417 75 61 17 1 0 0
OW 833 1740 250 254 96 9 0 0
VODI 2184 585 372 1137 536 94 14 0
ODI 1418 138 100 647 1259 585 112 0
CDI 0 37 60 367 1428 3811 1051 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 234 1999 5501 1163
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62274 12306 148 115 26 0 0 0
OW 821 1428 213 352 152 31 0 0
VODI 2118 576 237 780 408 82 19 0
ODI 1498 323 115 561 778 351 132 0
CDI 0 246 133 605 1802 3380 1161 23
VCDI 0 38 11 54 404 2655 5366 1140


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