Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 188 5 9 2 0 0 0
OW 0 286 29 40 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 145 42 95 74 23 0 0
ODI 0 104 48 114 119 42 23 0
CDI 0 227 142 429 707 851 438 0
VCDI 0 17 24 151 509 3395 25739 11802
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 306 8 8 4 0 0 0
OW 0 300 36 45 21 3 0 0
VODI 0 217 36 80 64 4 0 0
ODI 0 160 53 140 120 43 5 0
CDI 0 367 182 483 769 808 435 0
VCDI 0 261 57 401 858 3342 21639 14611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 596 22 26 4 0 0 0
OW 0 606 46 67 29 2 0 0
VODI 0 265 112 221 106 12 3 0
ODI 0 140 55 215 304 115 7 0
CDI 0 219 124 435 796 1405 347 1
VCDI 0 68 44 171 414 3296 22622 12971
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 804 25 30 5 5 0 0
OW 0 560 51 104 34 3 0 0
VODI 0 288 87 228 72 25 4 0
ODI 0 175 66 209 221 81 13 0
CDI 0 269 139 555 755 1082 723 1
VCDI 0 137 65 200 432 2769 26206 9443
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 750 25 31 4 3 0 0
OW 0 544 35 69 23 3 0 0
VODI 0 300 89 225 66 14 4 0
ODI 0 201 70 210 186 63 14 0
CDI 0 297 157 585 784 1075 685 1
VCDI 0 141 57 206 456 2807 26243 9443

Date: 2024-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 914 30 34 13 4 0 0
OW 0 498 58 80 17 4 0 0
VODI 0 344 89 211 69 15 9 0
ODI 0 212 73 256 235 84 27 0
CDI 0 310 133 511 724 1165 791 2
VCDI 0 159 72 203 389 2051 24781 11299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 876 30 35 12 3 0 0
OW 0 443 43 74 9 3 0 0
VODI 0 395 87 163 54 13 6 0
ODI 0 213 83 274 194 65 25 0
CDI 0 311 141 545 799 1146 668 2
VCDI 0 199 71 204 379 2093 24909 11299

Date: 2024-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1192 13 15 5 1 0 0
OW 0 769 64 87 5 2 0 0
VODI 0 388 172 494 171 19 6 0
ODI 0 183 93 341 464 162 27 0
CDI 0 220 92 336 824 1571 647 0
VCDI 0 6 11 79 245 2858 27826 6478
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 930 16 28 5 1 0 0
OW 0 470 16 60 4 1 0 0
VODI 0 440 79 157 62 14 9 0
ODI 0 277 97 324 218 72 26 0
CDI 0 412 181 530 902 1119 720 0
VCDI 0 229 56 253 523 3406 27751 6478

Date: 2024-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1377 28 21 5 1 0 0
OW 0 743 80 83 15 6 2 0
VODI 0 463 213 471 179 19 7 0
ODI 0 176 70 305 393 93 40 1
CDI 0 265 104 351 792 1498 867 2
VCDI 0 17 36 159 340 4005 25820 6819
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1058 23 14 4 1 0 0
OW 0 441 32 55 7 4 0 0
VODI 0 475 92 212 76 11 15 0
ODI 0 353 103 295 226 34 36 1
CDI 0 416 169 507 908 1164 797 1
VCDI 0 298 112 307 503 4408 25888 6820

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 42 1240 14 8 3 0 0 0
OW 0 722 95 92 12 6 3 0
VODI 0 579 170 468 148 18 14 0
ODI 0 245 72 302 455 120 44 0
CDI 0 350 119 374 865 1623 845 1
VCDI 0 184 64 271 569 3780 26596 5353
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 42 966 13 11 3 0 0 0
OW 0 403 44 57 9 4 0 0
VODI 0 526 108 223 73 17 16 0
ODI 0 425 91 318 241 56 54 0
CDI 0 588 165 523 960 1091 755 7
VCDI 0 412 113 383 766 4379 26677 5347


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