Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 4 5 1 3 0 0
VODI 0 112 9 22 24 10 0 0
ODI 0 96 35 81 86 59 17 0
CDI 0 108 46 241 691 641 666 6
VCDI 0 73 66 330 707 3589 17334 20720
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 3 6 2 2 0 0
VODI 0 120 20 25 24 5 5 0
ODI 0 139 38 61 87 66 35 0
CDI 0 136 78 376 817 1055 1253 0
VCDI 0 98 38 285 634 2641 19390 18403
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 38 2 8 1 0 0 0
OW 0 307 19 29 22 4 0 0
VODI 0 170 40 90 66 20 0 0
ODI 0 103 73 123 164 87 9 0
CDI 0 103 88 395 862 1071 390 0
VCDI 0 9 9 88 404 2039 22342 16691
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 174 6 8 1 0 0 0
OW 0 295 29 46 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 33 84 69 23 3 0
ODI 0 113 42 109 101 32 14 0
CDI 0 188 143 412 805 705 420 0
VCDI 0 22 30 130 431 2886 24171 14145
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 196 6 13 3 0 0 0
OW 0 259 30 48 50 2 0 0
VODI 0 159 29 91 66 26 3 0
ODI 0 106 41 94 104 30 13 0
CDI 0 208 148 425 800 699 420 0
VCDI 0 19 29 118 425 2889 24172 14145

Date: 2024-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 228 6 9 2 0 0 0
OW 0 280 26 56 41 2 0 0
VODI 0 156 48 92 71 22 0 0
ODI 0 130 33 136 126 44 16 0
CDI 0 271 132 445 682 896 462 0
VCDI 0 26 37 174 490 2572 26695 11460
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 278 9 14 4 0 0 0
OW 0 235 28 57 49 2 0 0
VODI 0 147 42 93 75 26 1 0
ODI 0 115 30 123 114 44 17 0
CDI 0 294 147 458 696 860 459 0
VCDI 0 22 26 167 474 2604 26696 11460

Date: 2024-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 522 14 21 3 0 0 0
OW 0 582 31 51 14 3 0 0
VODI 0 280 111 231 98 5 3 0
ODI 0 144 72 236 337 83 5 0
CDI 0 212 117 440 864 1379 522 0
VCDI 0 10 8 90 486 3822 21793 13277
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 415 9 13 6 0 0 0
OW 0 270 23 43 29 2 0 0
VODI 0 231 38 78 71 20 1 0
ODI 0 199 45 147 129 68 7 0
CDI 0 451 160 517 793 909 546 0
VCDI 0 184 78 271 774 4293 21769 13277

Date: 2024-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 680 23 29 10 2 0 0
OW 0 596 52 80 29 6 0 0
VODI 0 289 92 205 89 19 4 0
ODI 0 145 72 183 256 106 30 0
CDI 0 228 129 521 730 1278 523 1
VCDI 0 115 45 185 430 3147 24054 11483
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 513 19 25 7 2 0 0
OW 0 273 28 45 23 7 0 0
VODI 0 266 55 114 76 24 4 0
ODI 0 227 56 143 153 55 30 0
CDI 0 413 163 593 740 1305 798 1
VCDI 0 361 92 283 545 3165 23779 11483

Date: 2024-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 911 21 22 9 5 0 0
OW 0 533 51 93 21 5 1 0
VODI 0 328 99 201 71 18 7 0
ODI 0 190 77 212 218 72 18 0
CDI 0 288 141 562 719 1161 786 3
VCDI 0 154 67 200 381 2079 25361 10781
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 632 20 39 11 2 0 0
OW 0 270 17 53 16 2 0 0
VODI 0 313 56 96 62 22 11 0
ODI 0 246 77 179 122 53 77 0
CDI 0 450 150 582 662 1095 1358 1
VCDI 0 493 136 341 546 2166 24727 10783


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