Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58830 12642 93 85 10 0 0 0
OW 814 2057 273 304 54 15 0 0
VODI 1890 642 325 637 340 68 4 0
ODI 1691 144 117 558 725 288 56 0
CDI 0 78 51 367 1676 3461 2057 1
VCDI 0 38 17 66 159 1223 6632 4374
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60046 11725 60 59 14 0 0 0
OW 861 2180 214 189 62 8 0 0
VODI 1898 768 289 534 310 80 29 0
ODI 1677 181 130 446 670 205 78 0
CDI 0 64 56 301 1368 3364 2071 0
VCDI 0 31 20 52 211 1465 6245 4901
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60260 12540 77 49 0 0 0 0
OW 777 1926 238 227 32 1 0 0
VODI 1812 384 332 708 348 98 26 0
ODI 1879 31 60 416 741 362 51 0
CDI 0 49 21 174 1206 3240 1697 0
VCDI 0 2 7 63 154 1315 7301 4258
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60351 12508 90 57 6 0 0 0
OW 776 1875 243 209 59 4 0 0
VODI 1823 476 287 650 326 97 5 0
ODI 1862 63 85 450 711 335 65 0
CDI 0 80 31 241 1420 3036 1641 0
VCDI 0 23 18 82 281 1528 8687 2381
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60351 12395 91 59 7 0 0 0
OW 776 2005 249 205 63 4 0 0
VODI 1823 464 283 630 320 89 5 0
ODI 1862 62 85 497 720 344 73 0
CDI 0 76 27 216 1392 3056 1709 0
VCDI 0 23 19 82 301 1507 8611 2381

Date: 2024-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60881 12043 64 52 9 3 0 0
OW 775 1982 144 187 71 13 1 0
VODI 1837 697 271 569 266 62 45 0
ODI 1848 148 137 507 640 317 157 0
CDI 0 113 59 320 1407 2475 1513 0
VCDI 0 87 27 116 317 1860 7388 3454
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60881 12028 67 54 9 5 0 0
OW 775 2037 138 201 78 10 0 0
VODI 1837 676 296 529 256 62 52 0
ODI 1848 138 121 535 649 312 156 0
CDI 0 93 49 313 1398 2502 1572 0
VCDI 0 98 31 119 320 1839 7324 3454

Date: 2024-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60700 12817 66 66 4 0 0 0
OW 787 1938 281 222 36 12 1 0
VODI 1888 422 330 987 380 97 21 0
ODI 1782 93 59 415 1064 448 50 0
CDI 0 63 41 250 1261 3203 1312 0
VCDI 0 3 12 42 87 1176 8306 2140
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60699 12133 54 71 7 0 0 0
OW 774 1866 179 196 59 31 18 0
VODI 1855 807 253 516 274 145 33 0
ODI 1829 298 163 570 668 315 135 0
CDI 0 174 112 519 1580 2476 1569 0
VCDI 0 58 28 110 244 1969 7935 2140

Date: 2024-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60947 12524 59 81 3 0 0 0
OW 791 1999 235 189 66 21 0 0
VODI 1902 543 354 962 411 79 22 0
ODI 1765 106 89 392 986 345 51 0
CDI 0 91 52 330 1392 3247 1372 0
VCDI 0 4 10 44 111 1232 7826 2229
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60922 11680 86 86 8 0 0 0
OW 804 1716 168 242 64 22 13 0
VODI 1868 964 231 581 314 98 40 0
ODI 1811 481 139 475 818 421 151 0
CDI 0 354 148 519 1541 2607 1282 0
VCDI 0 72 27 95 224 1776 7785 2229

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61845 11892 60 38 2 0 0 0
OW 795 2005 242 165 51 20 1 0
VODI 1917 654 336 921 322 68 36 0
ODI 1746 148 99 423 703 315 96 0
CDI 0 39 59 361 1353 2907 1461 14
VCDI 0 11 9 57 136 1495 8214 1846
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61746 11025 120 52 9 2 1 0
OW 857 1663 185 265 53 16 6 0
VODI 1907 1153 202 530 260 80 88 0
ODI 1793 577 124 511 695 597 445 0
CDI 0 311 151 504 1190 1944 1244 0
VCDI 0 20 23 103 360 2166 8024 1860


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