Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-05-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58830 12643 94 85 10 0 0 0
OW 814 2059 279 319 56 16 2 0
VODI 1890 649 337 677 411 80 17 0
ODI 1691 173 123 600 801 337 93 0
CDI 0 164 73 508 2169 4167 2708 2
VCDI 0 119 47 263 1036 4762 37860 43846
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60046 11725 60 59 14 0 0 0
OW 861 2186 221 202 64 9 0 0
VODI 1898 792 294 586 361 120 30 0
ODI 1677 234 139 506 771 267 99 0
CDI 0 237 101 482 1959 4358 2707 5
VCDI 0 245 98 443 1525 5706 38049 41674
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60260 12553 81 49 0 0 0 0
OW 777 2008 243 242 37 3 0 0
VODI 1812 497 352 763 380 129 33 0
ODI 1879 114 95 539 915 435 78 0
CDI 0 120 94 505 1855 4341 2431 0
VCDI 0 55 54 436 1078 4837 38866 41864
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60351 12542 91 58 6 0 0 0
OW 776 1963 256 216 66 9 1 0
VODI 1823 628 315 712 371 113 12 0
ODI 1862 153 125 574 834 395 104 0
CDI 0 176 112 598 2124 3802 2380 18
VCDI 0 85 85 520 1311 6063 39878 39302
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60351 12440 93 59 7 0 0 0
OW 776 2091 259 212 74 10 2 0
VODI 1823 605 313 691 361 106 13 0
ODI 1862 153 131 628 839 401 113 0
CDI 0 171 98 554 2084 3858 2530 17
VCDI 0 87 90 534 1347 6007 39717 39303

Date: 2024-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60881 12049 64 58 9 3 0 0
OW 775 2042 151 207 79 13 1 0
VODI 1837 875 292 621 287 71 55 0
ODI 1848 271 180 599 746 404 196 0
CDI 0 256 131 716 2310 3680 2699 0
VCDI 0 170 107 600 1346 5959 42615 35607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60881 12040 67 62 11 5 0 0
OW 775 2095 143 224 85 10 1 0
VODI 1837 849 317 572 275 72 65 0
ODI 1848 268 174 628 759 411 205 0
CDI 0 225 114 704 2308 3782 2969 28
VCDI 0 186 110 611 1339 5850 42326 35579

Date: 2024-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60700 12830 66 72 4 0 0 0
OW 787 2212 299 244 55 13 1 0
VODI 1888 650 418 1104 449 111 29 0
ODI 1782 236 146 717 1376 548 64 0
CDI 0 213 124 740 2437 4869 1972 0
VCDI 0 52 73 320 777 4664 46905 30863
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60699 12141 54 72 7 0 0 0
OW 774 1948 181 206 74 32 19 0
VODI 1855 976 292 570 319 156 42 0
ODI 1829 466 216 662 785 391 171 0
CDI 0 407 224 1060 2659 3771 2602 4
VCDI 0 255 159 627 1254 5855 46137 30859

Date: 2024-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60947 12637 68 87 5 0 0 0
OW 791 2356 258 237 110 25 1 0
VODI 1902 751 415 1078 478 119 32 0
ODI 1765 199 146 559 1157 415 66 0
CDI 0 313 204 808 2429 4608 1874 0
VCDI 0 28 58 356 928 4778 47801 30021
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60922 11763 88 89 10 0 0 0
OW 804 1850 176 252 86 26 14 0
VODI 1868 1117 251 660 376 114 56 0
ODI 1811 618 187 591 931 498 191 0
CDI 0 657 293 963 2528 3755 2022 56
VCDI 0 279 154 570 1176 5552 47491 29965

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61845 12080 65 48 4 0 0 0
OW 795 2344 281 213 102 20 1 0
VODI 1917 857 389 1040 403 96 45 0
ODI 1746 257 159 578 851 374 133 0
CDI 0 297 228 903 2318 4277 2016 14
VCDI 0 49 50 380 982 6056 51052 25545
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61746 11151 123 59 15 9 1 0
OW 857 1765 196 284 79 23 12 0
VODI 1907 1327 233 603 326 124 118 0
ODI 1793 739 172 628 833 672 539 1
CDI 0 630 284 981 2072 3198 2511 74
VCDI 0 272 164 607 1335 6797 50066 25484


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