Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57990 12530 81 46 2 0 0 0
OW 764 1901 217 241 30 5 2 0
VODI 1818 697 219 680 324 86 11 0
ODI 1782 312 119 424 595 252 53 0
CDI 0 470 134 517 1224 2323 1536 0
VCDI 0 67 59 277 401 1838 8830 4005
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57870 12619 48 33 7 0 0 0
OW 763 1866 206 268 79 31 8 0
VODI 1828 884 275 554 237 90 34 0
ODI 1765 362 155 499 584 235 71 0
CDI 0 417 211 691 1517 2694 1671 0
VCDI 0 56 24 102 409 2273 8619 2807
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57887 13267 78 45 3 0 0 0
OW 819 2248 298 280 45 1 0 0
VODI 1868 489 329 781 331 48 7 0
ODI 1717 222 155 602 911 336 75 0
CDI 0 46 29 282 1442 3668 1842 0
VCDI 0 19 22 43 167 1504 6993 3963
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59045 12234 113 67 11 0 0 0
OW 875 2072 292 300 47 10 0 0
VODI 1885 570 300 694 343 64 5 0
ODI 1698 170 129 560 818 320 96 0
CDI 0 58 45 395 1670 3588 1993 1
VCDI 0 38 22 58 157 1317 6217 4585
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59054 12319 127 74 13 0 0 0
OW 866 1971 266 277 46 11 0 0
VODI 1886 570 317 694 344 67 6 0
ODI 1697 182 108 544 825 328 90 0
CDI 0 63 61 414 1653 3581 2090 1
VCDI 0 37 22 71 165 1312 6125 4585

Date: 2024-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59544 12131 92 86 4 0 0 0
OW 873 2071 224 234 64 13 0 0
VODI 1892 743 296 587 294 71 15 0
ODI 1686 159 131 471 690 225 41 0
CDI 0 71 57 321 1627 3636 1820 0
VCDI 0 23 13 58 179 1474 6241 4705
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59551 12189 103 102 13 0 0 0
OW 866 2002 204 209 62 18 2 0
VODI 1893 751 304 588 281 71 13 0
ODI 1685 155 128 465 728 230 45 0
CDI 0 77 60 330 1588 3578 1832 1
VCDI 0 24 14 63 186 1522 6225 4704

Date: 2024-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60229 12498 80 55 5 0 0 0
OW 774 1941 253 206 30 3 0 0
VODI 1809 354 352 777 378 56 5 0
ODI 1884 23 49 433 891 421 29 0
CDI 0 35 13 124 1038 3531 1275 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 135 1112 7432 4596
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60249 11674 78 58 11 1 0 0
OW 874 2097 183 171 37 15 0 0
VODI 1904 793 274 543 287 81 23 0
ODI 1669 194 139 390 609 339 76 0
CDI 0 84 68 399 1237 3052 2438 0
VCDI 0 9 5 70 296 1635 6204 4596

Date: 2024-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60277 12521 60 55 1 0 0 0
OW 779 1921 225 223 54 1 0 0
VODI 1816 455 296 675 338 67 8 0
ODI 1873 31 72 441 740 318 75 0
CDI 0 82 36 220 1440 3129 1708 0
VCDI 0 11 13 64 242 1967 8681 1947
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60318 11726 58 58 7 0 0 0
OW 857 1972 158 143 49 26 8 0
VODI 1911 862 241 453 278 64 29 0
ODI 1659 271 121 460 593 282 85 0
CDI 0 141 105 484 1507 3043 3244 0
VCDI 0 49 19 80 381 2067 7106 1947

Date: 2024-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60789 12105 85 52 11 1 0 0
OW 776 1951 156 214 65 15 0 0
VODI 1828 562 285 601 292 78 11 0
ODI 1857 102 106 474 689 328 85 0
CDI 0 96 40 266 1244 2833 1685 0
VCDI 0 60 32 118 356 1547 7777 3290
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60837 11219 71 63 15 2 0 0
OW 848 1930 99 134 54 27 10 0
VODI 1923 1020 221 453 234 77 36 0
ODI 1642 418 163 448 647 346 89 0
CDI 0 198 118 473 1297 3073 2896 0
VCDI 0 91 32 154 410 1277 6527 3290


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