Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 3 13 5 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 6 16 1 1 0
CDI 0 20 17 25 12 7 39 0
VCDI 0 26 24 98 192 510 14437 16611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 2 7 3 3 1 0
ODI 0 15 9 14 14 15 0 0
CDI 0 25 15 29 63 10 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 152 577 13290 17750
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 5 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 14 18 14 1 0 0
ODI 0 26 8 12 26 6 2 0
CDI 0 1 3 50 151 79 59 0
VCDI 0 0 1 15 125 1195 14757 15483
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 12 30 29 3 0 0
ODI 0 7 10 16 19 17 9 0
CDI 0 0 1 32 204 141 110 0
VCDI 0 0 1 39 323 1284 13658 16114
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 10 29 28 3 1 0
ODI 0 7 10 16 16 19 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 212 140 171 1
VCDI 0 0 2 33 319 1283 13594 16113

Date: 2024-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 4 9 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 36 41 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 25 22 11 8 0
CDI 0 2 3 72 180 219 223 1
VCDI 0 7 16 61 298 1047 15243 14531
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 3 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 36 40 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 25 22 11 15 0
CDI 0 1 3 66 194 229 289 7
VCDI 0 8 17 67 284 1037 15170 14525

Date: 2024-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 2 0 27 16 12 1 0
ODI 0 5 4 34 79 36 11 0
CDI 0 12 16 95 145 279 171 3
VCDI 0 7 7 82 253 826 14360 15597
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 22 38 26 1 0
ODI 0 2 2 19 33 23 9 1
CDI 0 10 10 94 127 259 459 13
VCDI 0 14 15 97 286 846 14074 15586

Date: 2024-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 2 3 1 0 1 0
VODI 0 14 10 20 9 11 8 0
ODI 0 9 9 55 70 19 19 0
CDI 0 5 11 102 122 239 191 0
VCDI 0 10 13 143 379 1230 14318 15057
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 1 9 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 7 15 39 15 9 0
ODI 0 3 11 31 37 17 21 0
CDI 0 3 12 113 110 224 245 0
VCDI 0 13 14 155 392 1243 14262 15057

Date: 2024-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 6 15 3 1 0 0
VODI 0 63 17 27 4 3 7 0
ODI 0 4 8 28 32 18 16 0
CDI 0 12 13 51 170 262 144 0
VCDI 0 33 36 156 423 1332 14946 14236
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 4 8 1 1 0 0
VODI 0 52 11 34 23 9 5 0
ODI 0 25 14 30 17 8 14 0
CDI 0 13 15 49 101 310 209 0
VCDI 0 33 36 158 490 1288 14885 14236


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