Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 10 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 6 12 28 17 23 0
CDI 0 18 15 80 220 128 154 9
VCDI 0 0 6 98 688 2595 18135 23611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 10 25 8 15 0
CDI 0 11 6 97 178 176 198 1
VCDI 0 2 8 69 586 2886 15772 25807
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 0 4 0 6 17 0
ODI 0 7 3 24 19 37 54 0
CDI 0 17 18 75 300 288 270 0
VCDI 0 0 4 47 526 2414 14848 26881
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 2 1 0
VODI 0 1 1 4 17 13 18 0
ODI 0 13 3 17 45 35 38 0
CDI 0 58 21 80 291 440 458 0
VCDI 0 3 17 93 608 2289 13984 27313
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 4 2 1 0
VODI 0 4 1 6 20 18 17 0
ODI 0 15 5 25 59 33 37 0
CDI 0 53 18 71 301 444 463 0
VCDI 0 3 18 92 580 2282 13981 27313

Date: 2024-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 4 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 5 31 22 3 0 0
ODI 0 49 8 51 60 33 5 0
CDI 0 168 29 88 512 520 307 0
VCDI 0 266 35 773 1272 2530 15756 23303
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 5 6 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 4 36 25 7 0 0
ODI 0 53 10 57 68 37 7 0
CDI 0 170 27 95 513 515 316 0
VCDI 0 260 35 753 1257 2527 15745 23303

Date: 2024-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 3 1 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 13 39 41 7 0 0
ODI 0 106 17 75 112 46 2 0
CDI 0 56 43 153 655 1320 258 0
VCDI 0 97 30 211 566 2619 16451 22796
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 5 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 6 18 35 6 1 0
ODI 0 42 6 49 83 48 12 0
CDI 0 155 27 111 444 1029 471 0
VCDI 0 181 64 300 814 2909 16227 22796

Date: 2024-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 96 3 5 8 4 0 0
VODI 0 108 17 30 30 12 0 0
ODI 0 72 24 75 91 59 14 0
CDI 0 69 63 267 513 619 586 0
VCDI 0 25 40 243 585 2884 18070 21223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 2 1 1 0 0
VODI 0 38 9 20 17 14 2 0
ODI 0 56 12 50 66 29 31 0
CDI 0 202 53 188 369 598 703 0
VCDI 0 101 73 362 774 2936 17934 21223

Date: 2024-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 4 5 1 3 0 0
VODI 0 112 9 22 24 10 0 0
ODI 0 96 35 81 86 59 17 0
CDI 0 108 46 241 691 641 666 6
VCDI 0 73 66 330 707 3589 17334 20720
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 0 0 2 4 0 0
VODI 0 47 4 11 19 20 2 0
ODI 0 81 13 50 65 38 27 0
CDI 0 204 47 179 591 656 474 31
VCDI 0 137 96 439 832 3584 17514 20695


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