Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-05-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57990 12530 81 46 2 0 0 0
OW 764 1901 217 241 30 6 2 0
VODI 1818 698 222 693 345 91 11 0
ODI 1782 328 128 442 639 270 77 0
CDI 0 508 166 622 1456 2458 1729 9
VCDI 0 93 89 473 1281 4943 41402 44227
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57870 12619 48 33 7 0 0 0
OW 763 1866 206 268 79 31 8 0
VODI 1828 888 277 563 247 94 35 0
ODI 1765 377 165 523 623 258 86 0
CDI 0 453 232 817 1758 2880 1922 1
VCDI 0 58 32 202 1147 5736 37681 46364
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57887 13268 78 45 3 0 0 0
OW 819 2251 303 283 45 1 0 0
VODI 1868 520 343 803 345 55 24 0
ODI 1717 255 166 638 956 379 131 0
CDI 0 64 50 407 1893 4035 2171 0
VCDI 0 19 27 105 818 5113 36598 46327
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59045 12234 114 67 11 0 0 0
OW 875 2072 294 314 50 12 1 0
VODI 1885 577 313 728 389 80 23 0
ODI 1698 190 142 593 882 372 143 0
CDI 0 116 67 507 2165 4169 2561 1
VCDI 0 41 40 190 1088 4890 33859 48012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59054 12319 128 74 13 0 0 0
OW 866 1971 270 292 50 13 1 0
VODI 1886 580 328 729 392 88 24 0
ODI 1697 204 123 585 900 380 138 0
CDI 0 116 79 523 2166 4165 2724 2
VCDI 0 40 42 196 1064 4877 33700 48011

Date: 2024-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59544 12133 92 86 4 0 0 0
OW 873 2083 232 247 65 13 0 0
VODI 1892 772 302 654 357 78 15 0
ODI 1686 208 145 547 772 269 54 0
CDI 0 241 89 481 2319 4375 2350 1
VCDI 0 296 64 892 1749 5051 37240 42539
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59551 12194 103 102 13 0 0 0
OW 866 2013 212 224 67 18 2 0
VODI 1893 778 310 660 346 82 13 0
ODI 1685 208 143 547 818 278 67 0
CDI 0 248 90 491 2295 4322 2437 8
VCDI 0 292 66 883 1727 5086 37140 42532

Date: 2024-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60229 12501 82 55 5 0 0 0
OW 774 1987 256 207 32 4 0 0
VODI 1809 453 365 843 435 75 6 0
ODI 1884 134 70 542 1082 503 42 0
CDI 0 103 72 372 1838 5130 1704 3
VCDI 0 104 37 329 954 4557 38243 42989
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60249 11674 78 58 11 1 0 0
OW 874 2101 188 178 46 15 0 0
VODI 1904 816 280 583 360 113 25 0
ODI 1669 238 147 458 725 410 97 1
CDI 0 249 105 604 1808 4340 3368 13
VCDI 0 204 84 467 1396 5390 36505 42978

Date: 2024-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60277 12549 61 57 1 0 0 0
OW 779 2019 230 231 63 5 1 0
VODI 1816 577 323 725 377 90 16 0
ODI 1873 112 105 571 901 396 108 0
CDI 0 156 110 589 2075 3987 2485 0
VCDI 0 46 66 450 1206 6081 41069 38227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60318 11726 58 58 7 0 0 0
OW 857 1978 160 154 53 27 8 0
VODI 1911 916 257 488 334 93 40 0
ODI 1659 330 144 541 696 328 137 0
CDI 0 346 170 785 1986 3865 4192 0
VCDI 0 163 106 597 1547 6246 39302 38227

Date: 2024-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60789 12129 85 54 11 1 0 0
OW 776 2025 166 234 69 19 0 0
VODI 1828 737 311 650 320 91 18 0
ODI 1857 202 149 583 807 405 118 0
CDI 0 216 99 558 2105 3736 2495 6
VCDI 0 166 134 604 1486 6468 40057 38246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60837 11219 71 63 15 2 0 0
OW 848 1937 103 142 57 32 10 0
VODI 1923 1119 236 498 276 106 43 0
ODI 1642 524 190 528 729 392 130 0
CDI 0 415 180 701 1989 4039 3579 31
VCDI 0 261 164 751 1732 6149 38926 38221


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