Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57109 12935 44 56 17 1 0 0
OW 747 1628 203 195 54 13 10 0
VODI 1785 538 279 557 406 117 51 0
ODI 1824 140 86 328 599 482 80 0
CDI 0 123 65 207 765 1794 1396 0
VCDI 0 26 16 69 199 1313 9639 6966
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57769 11756 46 113 29 0 0 0
OW 742 1865 121 175 116 19 0 0
VODI 1786 863 270 573 364 163 7 0
ODI 1823 307 95 336 546 421 34 0
CDI 0 252 78 279 1055 1844 842 0
VCDI 0 175 44 119 321 1577 9876 6061
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57720 12476 72 92 10 0 0 0
OW 726 2199 203 210 32 8 0 0
VODI 1803 548 292 767 396 47 4 0
ODI 1802 145 88 396 767 279 24 0
CDI 0 268 57 234 1266 2296 1037 0
VCDI 0 87 44 115 258 2153 8572 5369
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58321 12164 55 46 17 0 0 0
OW 812 1952 192 177 41 24 1 0
VODI 1813 767 215 680 355 54 9 0
ODI 1789 309 108 391 584 229 33 0
CDI 0 450 126 483 1122 2354 1318 0
VCDI 0 64 64 319 412 1761 8078 5173
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58318 12255 60 51 17 0 0 0
OW 815 1841 183 181 41 16 1 0
VODI 1810 761 207 651 348 60 6 0
ODI 1792 324 115 379 515 241 35 0
CDI 0 479 138 531 1208 2360 1315 0
VCDI 0 46 57 303 402 1745 8082 5173

Date: 2024-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58063 12478 50 41 8 0 0 0
OW 756 1869 242 228 61 13 5 0
VODI 1825 785 223 641 302 102 24 0
ODI 1771 380 120 465 617 222 58 0
CDI 0 445 179 608 1326 2447 1385 0
VCDI 0 49 32 198 410 1961 9141 3332
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58063 12553 54 44 10 0 0 0
OW 756 1757 222 221 50 10 4 0
VODI 1825 796 236 626 309 105 27 0
ODI 1771 382 116 450 566 240 61 0
CDI 0 485 192 652 1406 2401 1296 0
VCDI 0 33 26 188 383 1989 9225 3332

Date: 2024-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57839 13301 114 64 16 0 0 0
OW 810 2178 360 324 53 2 0 0
VODI 1865 453 322 815 345 48 5 0
ODI 1720 289 152 578 972 341 46 0
CDI 0 46 29 304 1348 3454 1592 0
VCDI 0 20 16 49 180 1959 7930 2923
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57837 12672 103 36 9 1 0 0
OW 805 1674 216 266 90 13 4 0
VODI 1833 891 284 506 240 69 36 0
ODI 1759 452 165 473 537 207 111 0
CDI 0 543 196 732 1653 2909 2050 0
VCDI 0 55 29 121 385 2605 7372 2923

Date: 2024-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58812 12384 76 50 5 0 0 0
OW 916 2076 292 310 51 4 0 0
VODI 1877 568 301 719 311 46 3 0
ODI 1707 215 145 578 860 332 104 0
CDI 0 47 39 339 1526 3761 2010 0
VCDI 0 22 23 57 158 1413 5974 4751
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58697 11727 66 27 3 0 0 0
OW 990 1533 161 197 45 10 1 0
VODI 1881 1053 233 443 228 84 23 0
ODI 1744 495 196 526 545 292 148 0
CDI 0 448 190 781 1878 3288 2067 0
VCDI 0 56 30 79 212 1882 5852 4751

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58830 12642 93 85 10 0 0 0
OW 814 2057 273 304 54 15 0 0
VODI 1890 642 325 637 340 68 4 0
ODI 1691 144 117 558 725 288 56 0
CDI 0 78 51 367 1676 3461 2057 1
VCDI 0 38 17 66 159 1223 6632 4374
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58826 11502 75 50 3 0 0 0
OW 814 1822 130 212 61 21 0 0
VODI 1859 1220 240 399 232 105 39 0
ODI 1726 561 208 481 603 386 215 0
CDI 0 430 193 753 1820 3085 2003 0
VCDI 0 66 30 122 245 1458 6492 4375


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