Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 7 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 32 64 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 314 9101 22292
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 10 3 1 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 23 33 78 157 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 67 408 10144 21139
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 3 4 3 1 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 8 8 7 0 0
CDI 0 2 3 13 23 46 3 0
VCDI 0 8 5 12 71 721 13332 17797
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 3 4 2 7 0 0
ODI 0 12 4 7 10 8 7 0
CDI 0 18 13 30 29 12 31 0
VCDI 0 24 13 89 211 525 13713 17307
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 5 1 7 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 8 9 8 7 0
CDI 0 25 15 28 34 12 37 0
VCDI 0 20 12 89 208 525 13707 17307

Date: 2024-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 5 14 2 0 0
ODI 0 14 12 12 12 1 0 0
CDI 0 29 13 22 32 9 46 0
VCDI 0 10 16 61 163 477 11598 19529
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 5 11 3 0 0
ODI 0 10 9 10 16 1 0 0
CDI 0 39 17 26 43 14 60 0
VCDI 0 4 14 59 152 472 11584 19529

Date: 2024-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 4 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 10 21 14 4 0 0
ODI 0 18 15 30 29 4 1 0
CDI 0 2 6 28 128 54 62 0
VCDI 0 2 5 11 80 899 14124 16502
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 12 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 4 13 19 8 8 0
CDI 0 28 21 27 49 24 82 0
VCDI 0 1 10 40 177 929 14097 16502

Date: 2024-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 7 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 11 20 15 1 1 0
ODI 0 15 13 10 29 5 4 0
CDI 0 1 1 28 182 151 88 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 237 1382 13816 16020
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 6 11 1 0 1 0
ODI 0 11 4 11 25 4 7 0
CDI 0 9 10 26 121 90 127 0
VCDI 0 18 10 27 316 1445 13774 16020

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 5 14 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 9 30 40 0 1 0
ODI 0 1 2 27 25 8 10 0
CDI 0 0 5 45 174 196 170 1
VCDI 0 0 0 56 324 1186 15519 14227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 4 2 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 10 10 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 7 19 35 5 12 4
CDI 0 0 8 53 137 131 221 11
VCDI 0 0 1 88 381 1253 15467 14213


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