Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 1 3 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 5 19 5 2 0 0
ODI 0 36 9 25 9 12 1 0
CDI 0 66 26 74 118 128 166 1
VCDI 0 105 62 251 519 2191 14377 27631
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 0 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 10 22 20 3 0 0
ODI 0 22 17 20 21 8 0 0
CDI 0 38 15 61 109 99 68 0
VCDI 0 37 24 182 608 1836 15160 27444
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 21 12 8 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 18 20 20 0 0
CDI 0 9 13 38 143 111 54 0
VCDI 0 3 3 31 260 1707 13748 29633
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 7 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 15 21 6 3 0
CDI 0 7 13 55 100 150 95 28
VCDI 0 6 8 65 357 2111 16255 26535
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 9 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 14 22 7 3 1
CDI 0 7 11 56 103 158 120 30
VCDI 0 6 8 64 349 2102 16230 26532

Date: 2024-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 14 34 19 9 0
CDI 0 12 14 96 207 195 153 12
VCDI 0 4 7 58 792 3570 16118 24548
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 17 34 21 12 0
CDI 0 11 18 107 251 269 179 15
VCDI 0 4 3 44 747 3494 16089 24545

Date: 2024-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 0 4 12 1 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 24 48 17 23 0
CDI 0 11 10 56 378 286 225 3
VCDI 0 1 2 46 401 2482 16569 25253
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 7 3 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 34 23 28 0
CDI 0 17 5 48 226 214 336 3
VCDI 0 8 8 71 572 2546 16451 25253

Date: 2024-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
VODI 0 4 0 1 6 11 21 0
ODI 0 6 5 14 32 44 52 0
CDI 0 25 14 79 263 310 430 0
VCDI 0 0 3 45 581 2382 14577 26959
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 5 6 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 36 48 49 0
CDI 0 11 10 51 201 267 463 5
VCDI 0 24 12 83 640 2426 14558 26954

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 0
VODI 0 5 3 10 31 12 12 0
ODI 0 28 4 15 51 41 27 0
CDI 0 86 17 96 319 510 481 0
VCDI 0 81 30 141 553 2353 15709 25245
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 9 3 13 16 14 3 0
ODI 0 17 4 23 44 45 26 1
CDI 0 59 10 83 209 424 520 34
VCDI 0 115 37 142 686 2433 15682 25210


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