Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-04-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57109 12935 44 56 17 1 0 0
OW 747 1631 204 198 55 13 10 0
VODI 1785 558 284 577 413 119 51 0
ODI 1824 176 95 356 615 498 81 0
CDI 0 189 91 291 915 1986 1772 1
VCDI 0 131 78 320 760 3818 33117 56889
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57769 11756 46 115 29 0 0 0
OW 742 1871 121 184 118 19 0 0
VODI 1786 888 283 598 384 166 7 0
ODI 1823 330 114 366 570 430 34 0
CDI 0 292 95 363 1197 2021 1067 0
VCDI 0 212 68 305 996 3821 35180 54644
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57720 12476 72 92 10 0 0 0
OW 726 2199 203 210 33 10 0 0
VODI 1803 551 300 792 411 56 4 0
ODI 1802 150 98 422 795 306 24 0
CDI 0 279 73 285 1432 2453 1094 0
VCDI 0 98 52 158 589 4581 35652 52799
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58321 12164 55 46 17 0 0 0
OW 812 1952 192 179 43 24 1 0
VODI 1813 773 218 691 374 61 9 0
ODI 1789 324 114 413 615 243 43 0
CDI 0 475 152 568 1251 2516 1444 28
VCDI 0 94 85 473 980 4397 38046 49015
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58318 12255 60 51 17 0 0 0
OW 815 1841 183 182 43 16 1 0
VODI 1810 765 210 665 370 67 6 0
ODI 1792 338 122 401 546 256 45 1
CDI 0 511 164 615 1345 2530 1472 30
VCDI 0 72 77 456 959 4372 38019 49012

Date: 2024-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58063 12478 50 41 8 0 0 0
OW 756 1869 242 228 63 14 5 0
VODI 1825 785 225 646 318 104 24 0
ODI 1771 394 134 491 663 242 67 0
CDI 0 486 206 726 1565 2651 1584 12
VCDI 0 63 55 317 1365 6008 36857 47409
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58063 12553 54 44 10 0 0 0
OW 756 1757 222 221 51 10 4 0
VODI 1825 796 239 631 323 108 27 0
ODI 1771 393 127 477 616 262 73 0
CDI 0 535 227 785 1700 2684 1535 15
VCDI 0 41 43 291 1282 5955 36898 47406

Date: 2024-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57839 13301 114 64 16 0 0 0
OW 810 2179 360 328 54 2 0 0
VODI 1865 486 332 840 371 53 5 0
ODI 1720 314 168 632 1049 362 70 0
CDI 0 59 45 388 1854 3794 1879 3
VCDI 0 23 23 106 661 5340 38623 44678
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57837 12672 103 36 9 1 0 0
OW 805 1675 216 268 90 13 4 0
VODI 1833 897 285 520 254 72 38 0
ODI 1759 466 169 495 590 238 147 0
CDI 0 588 222 807 1928 3147 2468 3
VCDI 0 64 47 232 1134 6080 37920 44678

Date: 2024-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58812 12386 76 50 5 0 0 0
OW 916 2079 299 315 51 4 2 0
VODI 1877 595 312 740 332 58 25 0
ODI 1707 236 163 602 921 381 160 0
CDI 0 73 54 446 1971 4222 2528 0
VCDI 0 22 26 114 976 5177 34367 47730
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58697 11727 66 27 3 0 0 0
OW 990 1537 163 197 45 10 2 0
VODI 1881 1055 239 454 234 90 35 0
ODI 1744 506 200 542 606 344 204 0
CDI 0 468 210 858 2200 3645 2657 5
VCDI 0 98 52 189 1168 5753 34184 47725

Date: 2024-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58830 12643 94 85 10 0 0 0
OW 814 2059 279 319 56 16 2 0
VODI 1890 649 337 677 411 80 17 0
ODI 1691 173 123 600 801 337 93 0
CDI 0 164 73 508 2169 4167 2708 2
VCDI 0 119 47 263 1036 4762 37860 43846
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58826 11503 75 50 3 0 0 0
OW 814 1824 135 216 62 22 0 0
VODI 1859 1230 245 422 258 120 42 0
ODI 1726 580 219 523 682 436 253 5
CDI 0 489 211 889 2166 3640 2744 45
VCDI 0 181 68 352 1312 5144 37641 43798


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