Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56738 13033 58 63 20 0 0 0
OW 726 1524 172 196 80 24 5 0
VODI 1762 618 297 502 249 95 52 0
ODI 1854 147 120 440 544 286 129 0
CDI 0 69 68 322 1143 2072 1165 0
VCDI 0 0 1 30 140 948 9665 7505
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56825 12551 53 61 48 0 0 0
OW 713 1599 185 275 92 14 1 0
VODI 1765 803 218 465 326 104 66 0
ODI 1849 330 131 392 591 458 63 0
CDI 0 174 124 372 653 1810 1260 8
VCDI 0 14 18 73 245 1418 8818 7897
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57145 12974 56 50 9 2 0 0
OW 704 1890 206 180 44 16 21 0
VODI 1786 522 305 640 362 103 16 0
ODI 1823 70 99 388 831 407 37 0
CDI 0 31 52 235 832 1672 767 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 183 1458 8922 7999
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56773 13289 43 65 6 0 0 0
OW 746 1601 227 209 55 8 12 0
VODI 1785 522 279 618 454 118 52 0
ODI 1824 118 84 355 602 490 64 0
CDI 0 97 66 202 765 1721 1161 0
VCDI 0 22 10 48 227 1526 9110 7508
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56773 13439 59 76 6 0 0 0
OW 745 1467 221 235 65 8 4 0
VODI 1786 506 263 571 414 102 51 0
ODI 1824 123 88 355 614 434 70 0
CDI 0 86 67 214 800 1820 1321 0
VCDI 0 28 11 46 210 1499 8953 7508

Date: 2024-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57047 12757 67 71 33 0 0 0
OW 744 1681 188 205 75 24 0 0
VODI 1785 662 254 539 397 236 15 0
ODI 1824 199 96 317 554 457 39 0
CDI 0 171 47 199 834 2095 1032 0
VCDI 0 87 40 106 240 1458 9799 6488
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57047 12929 72 84 42 1 0 0
OW 744 1523 208 220 75 21 0 0
VODI 1785 655 224 477 377 221 14 0
ODI 1824 200 99 341 544 453 39 0
CDI 0 158 53 207 858 2138 1128 1
VCDI 0 92 36 108 237 1436 9704 6487

Date: 2024-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57694 12274 70 102 25 0 0 0
OW 786 2177 215 206 58 3 0 0
VODI 1810 416 313 781 454 74 0 0
ODI 1805 136 56 315 885 389 12 0
CDI 0 247 60 178 923 2738 1124 0
VCDI 0 29 23 68 192 1780 8634 5810
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57750 11824 67 123 28 0 0 0
OW 737 1619 182 218 89 18 0 0
VODI 1788 880 227 512 415 141 8 0
ODI 1820 361 120 380 525 411 81 0
CDI 0 327 82 276 1148 2226 1069 0
VCDI 0 268 59 141 332 2188 8612 5810

Date: 2024-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57830 12537 83 43 19 0 0 0
OW 728 2107 200 207 58 21 0 0
VODI 1807 669 262 688 392 38 3 0
ODI 1797 173 101 467 659 197 21 0
CDI 0 351 101 441 1241 2007 1191 0
VCDI 0 81 43 188 492 1983 8489 5147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57843 11921 85 61 21 2 0 0
OW 713 1626 171 256 104 36 7 0
VODI 1794 1050 206 527 342 45 21 0
ODI 1812 466 110 388 517 194 82 0
CDI 0 584 142 552 1347 1703 1306 0
VCDI 0 271 76 250 530 2266 8288 5147

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57990 12530 81 46 2 0 0 0
OW 764 1901 217 241 30 5 2 0
VODI 1818 697 219 680 324 86 11 0
ODI 1782 312 119 424 595 252 53 0
CDI 0 470 134 517 1224 2323 1536 0
VCDI 0 67 59 277 401 1838 8830 4005
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57990 11749 80 78 8 9 5 0
OW 759 1590 173 287 118 45 20 0
VODI 1805 1182 215 469 197 78 27 0
ODI 1800 499 125 479 525 220 127 0
CDI 0 687 133 508 1217 1881 1473 0
VCDI 0 270 103 364 511 2271 8780 4005


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