Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 17 23 28 0
CDI 0 1 0 12 51 175 215 0
VCDI 0 3 12 42 389 1944 14258 28682
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 5 12 2 1 0
ODI 0 11 7 13 24 11 1 0
CDI 0 20 15 36 73 52 33 1
VCDI 0 38 37 123 458 1349 14355 29184
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 1 2 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 6 22 5 4 1 0
ODI 0 34 8 24 11 8 3 0
CDI 0 51 18 60 74 74 43 0
VCDI 0 69 52 177 357 1026 12719 30977
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 4 3 7 2 1 0
ODI 0 29 8 20 10 5 5 0
CDI 0 59 34 79 103 98 112 0
VCDI 0 28 40 167 354 1364 15318 27998
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 4 3 6 3 1 0
ODI 0 27 6 13 11 5 4 0
CDI 0 64 36 100 114 92 124 0
VCDI 0 29 40 153 343 1369 15307 27998

Date: 2024-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 1 9 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 7 16 3 2 1 0
ODI 0 40 4 30 15 12 10 0
CDI 0 58 19 89 118 136 163 0
VCDI 0 110 59 294 516 2021 15197 26895
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 1 5 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 5 18 5 2 1 0
ODI 0 37 7 29 16 16 14 0
CDI 0 71 18 90 112 148 150 0
VCDI 0 107 59 296 519 2005 15206 26895

Date: 2024-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 8 14 27 3 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 34 46 17 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 66 169 134 58 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 355 1731 15892 27260
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0
VODI 0 5 0 9 29 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 20 38 15 1 0
CDI 0 10 3 62 111 99 87 0
VCDI 0 0 2 50 417 1769 15862 27260

Date: 2024-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 7 22 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 6 20 12 3 0 0
CDI 0 13 18 61 68 68 58 12
VCDI 0 6 6 82 345 1761 15216 28058
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 6 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 4 19 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 9 18 15 10 5 0
CDI 0 12 12 52 66 64 99 6
VCDI 0 6 11 96 342 1758 15170 28064

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 10 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 6 12 28 17 23 0
CDI 0 18 15 80 220 128 154 9
VCDI 0 0 6 98 688 2595 18135 23611
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 13 17 0 2 0
ODI 0 7 5 10 27 2 8 0
CDI 0 11 16 58 160 76 127 2
VCDI 0 3 4 115 736 2662 18175 23618


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